California Baptist Lancers vs San José State Spartans prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026
- Projected winnerCalifornia Baptist 82%
- Projected scoreCalifornia Baptist 70, San José State 63
- Model spreadCalifornia Baptist −8 total 133
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
California Baptist Lancers or San José State Spartans: the bandwagon
Axle 82–18Market –
California Baptist Lancers at San José State Spartans win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
California Baptist Lancers vs San José State Spartans live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
California Baptist Lancers vs San José State Spartans team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | CBU | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CBU– | SJSU– |
| Average win probability | CBU– | SJSU– |
| Longest scoring run | CBU– | SJSU– |
| Time leading | CBU– | SJSU– |
California Baptist Lancers vs San José State Spartans odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SJSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 18% | — |
- Ratings
- SJSU 1298 · CBU 1584
- Home spread
- +8
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
California Baptist Lancers vs San José State Spartans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lancers a 8-point favorite, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 133. Ratings: Spartans 1298 (345th of 356), Lancers 1584 (88th). The Spartans are 0-1; the Lancers are 0-0. The Spartans have won 0 of their last 5; the Lancers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Spartans won 0, the Lancers 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
California Baptist Lancers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Oregon State Beavers | W 79–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 43–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Abilene Christian Wildcats | W 74–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tarleton State Texans | W 77–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds | W 77–61 | – | – | matchup |
San José State Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Nebraska Cornhuskers | L 54–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boise State Broncos | L 51–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado State Rams | L 44–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Grand Canyon Lopes | L 52–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nevada Wolf Pack | L 41–49 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San José State Spartans at California Baptist Lancers | 55–69 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
California Baptist Lancers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San José State Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lancers0-0 9th · -
- Lancers rating1584 88th of 356, 1 games
- Spartans0-1 7th · L1
- Spartans rating1298 345th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak -
No stances yet today on $CBUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the California Baptist Lancers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $SJSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San José State Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: California Baptist 82% to win. Projected score California Baptist 70, San José State 63; spread California Baptist −8, total 133. California Baptist Lancers at San José State Spartans, Wed, Nov 18, 2:00 PM ET.