Akron Zips vs Mercyhurst Lakers prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
Akron at Mercyhurst: Bandwagon's model makes Mercyhurst an 85% favorite (Mercyhurst −15).
Akron Zips vs Mercyhurst Lakers odds and win probability
Axle gives Mercyhurst a 85% chance to win, by about 15 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Mercyhurst
All WCBB ratings| AKR | MERC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1314 339th of 357 | 1479 189th of 357 |
| Record | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MERC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET | 85% | +1 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:43 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:43 PM ET | 84% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 85% | — |
Akron Zips vs Mercyhurst Lakers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lakers a 15-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 130. Ratings: Lakers 1479 (189th of 357), Zips 1314 (339th). The Lakers are 1-2; the Zips are 0-3. The Lakers have won 0 of their last 2; the Zips 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Akron Zips
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Xavier Musketeers | L 54–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at George Mason Patriots | L 60–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | L 74–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | L 62–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Massachusetts Minutewomen | L 64–74 | – | – | matchup |
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Ohio State Buckeyes | L 57–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seton Hall Pirates | L 37–63 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Akron Zips: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Mercyhurst Lakers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Zips0-3 11th · L3
- Zips rating1314 339th of 357, 3 games
- Lakers1-2 5th · L1
- Lakers rating1479 189th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Akron Zips 0-3
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 11th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $AKRWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Akron Zips bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MERCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mercyhurst Lakers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Akron Zips at Mercyhurst Lakers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Mercyhurst 85% to win. Projected score Mercyhurst 72, Akron 58; spread Mercyhurst −15, total 130. Akron Zips at Mercyhurst Lakers, Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM ET.