The South Alabama Jaguars lead the Akron Zips 40-36 at halftime, and the model gives Akron a 33 percent chance right now. The numbers favor the Jaguars on the board at this point.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · James A. Rhodes Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
South Alabama Jaguars vs Akron Zips: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreSouth Alabama 75, Akron 74 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSouth Alabama 67%
- Pregame Projected scoreSouth Alabama 66, Akron 64
- Model spreadSouth Alabama −2 total 130.5
- Margin1 projected 2.2
- Total149 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
South Alabama Jaguars or Akron Zips: the bandwagon
Axle 67–33Market –
FinalPregame: AKR 33%Baseline: AKR 27.3% (−6.1)Big swing: 51.8 ptsClutch window: 5:15
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 20 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 75 |
| AKR | 20 | 16 | 13 | 25 | 74 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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South Alabama Jaguars at Akron Zips win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to AKR+33.3 points for AKR over the last 5:00
Big swing51.8 ptstoward USA at 39:57 of game time
Clutch window5:15within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineAKR 27.3%game average, −6.1 points from the pregame 33.3%
South Alabama Jaguars vs Akron Zips live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | USA | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | USA29/71 | AKR22/60 |
| 3-pointers | USA4/19 | AKR4/19 |
| Free throws | USA13/15 | AKR26/32 |
| Rebounds | USA46 | AKR39 |
| Assists | USA12 | AKR12 |
| Turnovers | USA18 | AKR14 |
| Steals | USA5 | AKR8 |
| Blocks | USA0 | AKR0 |
| Points in the paint | USA40 | AKR36 |
| Fast-break points | USA9 | AKR14 |
| Fouls | USA28 | AKR21 |
| Largest lead | USA13 | AKR9 |
South Alabama Jaguars vs Akron Zips team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | USA | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | USA75 | AKR74 |
| Average win probability | USA73% | AKR27% |
| Longest scoring run | USA+7 | AKR+6 |
| Time leading | USA23:02 | AKR11:48 |
South Alabama Jaguars vs Akron Zips odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET
Jaguars67%
Win chanceZips33%
SpreadUSA −2closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline−200away / +200homeaway / home
Line movementAKR win chance, 22 stored lines
−30 pts for AKR between Oct 29 and Nov 2
69%20%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | AKR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 33% | +7 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 26% | −37 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- AKR 1326 · USA 1493
- Home spread
- +2
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: South Alabama Jaguars 75, Akron Zips 74. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
South Alabama Jaguars vs Akron Zips prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Jaguars a 2-point favorite, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Zips 1324 (340th of 356), Jaguars 1495 (177th). The Zips are 0-0; the Jaguars are 0-0. The Zips have won 0 of their last 5; the Jaguars 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Zips won 0, the Jaguars 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
South Alabama Jaguars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Akron Zips | W 75–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | L 72–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alcorn State Lady Braves | W 73–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 54–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marshall Thundering Herd | W 73–58 | – | – | matchup |
Akron Zips
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | L 74–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | L 62–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Massachusetts Minutewomen | L 64–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 56–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ball State Cardinals | L 55–88 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron Zips at South Alabama Jaguars | 63–87 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
South Alabama Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Akron Zips: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jaguars0-0 12th · -
- Jaguars rating1495 177th of 356, 1 games
- Zips0-0 2nd · -
- Zips rating1324 340th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak -
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No stances yet today on $USAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Alabama Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Akron Zips 0-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $AKRWBB
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No stances yet today on $AKRWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Akron Zips bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on South Alabama Jaguars at Akron Zips
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Final: South Alabama 75, Akron 74. Bandwagon's model had the South Alabama at 67% and projected South Alabama 66, Akron 64; spread South Alabama −2, total 130.5.