Serie A tonight ended Juventus 2, Napoli 0, and the final score is the only number the room has to work with. No crowd picks came in, so there is no crowd read to report, and the model had Juventus at 36 percent before kickoff.
Serie A · · Juventus Stadium · every Serie A line
Napoli vs Juventus: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreNapoli 0, Juventus 2
- Pregame Projected winnereven
- Pregame Projected scoreJuventus 1.5, Napoli 1.5
- Model spreadeven total 3
- Margin2 projected 0
- Total2 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Napoli or Juventus: the bandwagon
Axle 34–36Market –
FinalPregame: JUV 51%Baseline: JUV 60.3% (+9.3)Big swing: 40.6 ptsClutch window: 43:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAP | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| JUV | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
NAP 51.3%JUV 48.7%
Napoli at Juventus win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to JUV+4.2 points for JUV over the last 10:00
Big swing40.6 ptstoward JUV at 72:00 of game time
Clutch window43:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineJUV 60.3%game average, +9.3 points from the pregame 51.0%
Napoli vs Juventus live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NAP | JUV |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | NAP51.3% | JUV48.7% |
| Shots | NAP8 | JUV18 |
| Shots on target | NAP1 | JUV4 |
| Corners | NAP4 | JUV13 |
| Passes completed | NAP420/482 | JUV372/442 |
| Saves | NAP2 | JUV1 |
| Fouls | NAP12 | JUV9 |
| Offsides | NAP1 | JUV3 |
| Yellow cards | NAP1 | JUV3 |
| Red cards | NAP1 | JUV0 |
Napoli vs Juventus team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NAP | JUV |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NAP0 | JUV2 |
| Average win probability | NAP40% | JUV60% |
| Longest scoring run | NAP+0 | JUV+2 |
| Time leading | NAP0:00 | JUV18:00 |
Napoli vs Juventus odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 10:59 AM ET
Napoli34%
Win chanceJuventus36%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+192away / +239draw / +176homeaway / draw / home
Line movementJUV win chance, 14 stored lines
−1 pts for JUV between Oct 29 and Nov 1
42%31%
Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | JUV win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 10:59 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:59 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 8:29 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:46 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:56 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 12:01 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 36% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 5:53 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 3:34 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 37% | — |
- Ratings
- JUV 1510 · NAP 1545
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 1, 10:59 AM ET · 2026-11-01 15:59 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Napoli 0, Juventus 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Serie A a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 1 pick
Be the first on the bandwagon
NapoliJuventus
Neutrals only–
NapoliJuventus
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Juventus–
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Napoli vs Juventus prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 36% for the Juventus, 30% for a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Juventus 1525 (7th of 20), Napoli 1530 (6th). The Juventus are 5-3-2; the Napoli are 4-4-2. The Juventus have won 2 of their last 5; the Napoli 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Juventus won 2, the Napoli 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Napoli
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Juventus | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Monza | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs AS Roma | T 3–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Venezia | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Villarreal | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Juventus
Head-to-head
Injuries
Napoli: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Juventus: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Napoli4-4-2 8th
- Napoli rating1530 6th of 20, 10 games
- Juventus5-3-2 7th
- Juventus rating1525 7th of 20, 10 games
Napoli 4-4-2
Serie A · 8th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NAPOLI
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NAPOLI
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NAPOLI
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $NAPOLI: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Napoli bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Juventus 5-3-2
Serie A · 7th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $JUVENTUS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $JUVENTUS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $JUVENTUS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $JUVENTUS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Juventus bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Napoli at Juventus
Sign in to post a take on $NAPOLIJUVENTUS261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.