Kansas City Current vs Gotham FC prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Kansas City Current at Gotham FC: Bandwagon's model makes Gotham FC a 44% favorite (Gotham FC −0.5).
Kansas City Current vs Gotham FC model odds and win probability
Axle gives Gotham FC a 44% chance to win, with a 23% chance of a draw.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NWSL marketEach bar is the chance that Gotham FC win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 44%.
The largest gap is 6 points: Axle has Gotham FC at 44%, Polymarket at 38%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before kickoff
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Gotham FC
All NWSL ratings| KC | GFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1603 2nd of 16 | 1613 1st of 16 |
| Record | 16-9-5 | 18-5-7 |
| Last 5 games | 5-0 | 3-1-1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 3 | 2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | GFC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:04 AM ET | 44% | — |
Kansas City Current vs Gotham FC odds on Polymarket
Every NWSL marketPolymarket prices Gotham FC at 38%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 44%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | KC | Draw | GFC | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 33% | 29% | 38% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 33% | 23% | 44% | · model 2.0 |
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Kansas City Current vs Gotham FC prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gotham FC a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 44% chance to win and a 23% chance of a draw. The model total is 2.5. Ratings: Gotham FC 1613 (1st of 16), Kansas City Current 1603 (2nd). The Gotham FC are 18-5-7; the Kansas City Current are 16-9-5. The Gotham FC have won 3 of their last 5; the Kansas City Current 5 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Gotham FC won 2, the Kansas City Current 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Kansas City Current
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Angel City FC | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Racing Louisville FC | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington Spirit | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Royals | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bay FC | W 5–1 | – | – | matchup |
Gotham FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Seattle Reign FC | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Royals | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Orlando Pride | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Spirit | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Angel City FC | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Current at Gotham FC | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Gotham FC at Kansas City Current | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Gotham FC at Kansas City Current | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Gotham FC at Kansas City Current | 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Kansas City Current at Gotham FC | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Gotham FC at Kansas City Current | 1–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Kansas City Current: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Gotham FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Kansas City Current16-9-5 4th
- Kansas City Current rating1603 2nd of 16, 31 games
- Gotham FC18-5-7 1st
- Gotham FC rating1613 1st of 16, 31 games
More NWSL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Kansas City Current 16-9-5
National Women's Soccer League · 4th
No stances yet today on $CURRENT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kansas City Current bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Gotham FC 18-5-7
National Women's Soccer League · 1st
No stances yet today on $GOTHAM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Gotham FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Kansas City Current at Gotham FC
Sign in to post a take on $CURRENTGOTHAM261115: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Women's Soccer League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 11, 6:12 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Gotham FC 44% to win, draw 23%. Projected score Gotham FC 1.4, Kansas City Current 1.1; spread Gotham FC −0.5, total 2.5. Polymarket 38% for Gotham FC. Kansas City Current at Gotham FC, Sun, Nov 15, 3:00 PM ET.