NWSL tonight: Kansas City Current beat Racing Louisville FC 2-0 in the final. The model had Louisville at 18 percent before kickoff, and no crowd picks were recorded, so there is no fan split to compare.
NWSL · · Lynn Family Stadium · every National Women's Soccer League line
Kansas City Current vs Racing Louisville FC: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreKansas City Current 2, Racing Louisville FC 0 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerKansas City Current 63%
- Pregame Projected scoreKansas City Current 1.8, Racing Louisville FC 1.3
- Model spreadKansas City Current −0.5 total 3
- Margin2 projected 0.5
- Total2 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Kansas City Current or Racing Louisville FC: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 63–18Market –
FinalPregame: LOU 28%Baseline: LOU 10.4% (−17.4)Big swing: 17.6 ptsClutch window: 15:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| LOU | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
KC 58.1%LOU 41.9%
Kansas City Current at Racing Louisville FC win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−0.0 points for LOU over the last 10:00
Big swing17.6 ptstoward KC at 16:00 of game time
Clutch window15:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineLOU 10.4%game average, −17.4 points from the pregame 27.8%
Kansas City Current vs Racing Louisville FC live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | KC | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | KC58.1% | LOU41.9% |
| Shots | KC15 | LOU11 |
| Shots on target | KC5 | LOU1 |
| Corners | KC7 | LOU3 |
| Passes completed | KC410/504 | LOU290/366 |
| Saves | KC1 | LOU3 |
| Fouls | KC3 | LOU9 |
| Offsides | KC1 | LOU1 |
| Yellow cards | KC0 | LOU2 |
| Red cards | KC0 | LOU0 |
Kansas City Current vs Racing Louisville FC team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | KC | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | KC2 | LOU0 |
| Average win probability | KC90% | LOU10% |
| Longest scoring run | KC+2 | LOU+0 |
| Time leading | KC74:00 | LOU0:00 |
Kansas City Current vs Racing Louisville FC odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET
Kansas City Current63%
Win chanceRacing Louisville FC18%
SpreadKC −0.5closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline−169away / +433draw / +442homeaway / draw / home
Line movementLOU win chance, 7 stored lines
−7 pts for LOU between Oct 29 and Nov 1
30%11%
Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | LOU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 18% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 7:59 AM ET | 17% | −8 |
| Oct 29, 6:02 AM ET | 25% | — |
- Ratings
- LOU 1388 · KC 1587
- Home spread
- +0.5
- Stored
- Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-01 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Kansas City Current 2, Racing Louisville FC 0. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Women's Soccer League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Kansas City CurrentRacing Louisville FC
Neutrals only–
Kansas City CurrentRacing Louisville FC
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Racing Louisville FC–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Kansas City Current vs Racing Louisville FC prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Kansas City Current a 0.5-point favorite, with a 63% chance to win and a 19% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Racing Louisville FC 1379 (15th of 16), Kansas City Current 1596 (2nd). The Racing Louisville FC are 7-19-3; the Kansas City Current are 15-9-5. The Racing Louisville FC have won 0 of their last 5; the Kansas City Current 5 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Racing Louisville FC won 1, the Kansas City Current 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Kansas City Current
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Racing Louisville FC | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington Spirit | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Royals | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bay FC | W 5–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Summit FC | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup |
Racing Louisville FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Kansas City Current | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Denver Summit FC | L 1–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Legacy FC | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Royals | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Diego Wave FC | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Louisville FC at Kansas City Current | 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Kansas City Current at Racing Louisville FC | 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Racing Louisville FC at Kansas City Current | 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Kansas City Current at Racing Louisville FC | 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Racing Louisville FC at Kansas City Current | 3–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Kansas City Current at Racing Louisville FC | 1–2 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Kansas City Current: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Racing Louisville FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Kansas City Current15-9-5 4th
- Kansas City Current rating1596 2nd of 16, 30 games
- Racing Louisville FC7-19-3 15th
- Racing Louisville FC rating1379 15th of 16, 30 games
Kansas City Current 15-9-5
National Women's Soccer League · 4th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CURRENT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CURRENT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CURRENT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CURRENT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kansas City Current bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Racing Louisville FC 7-19-3
National Women's Soccer League · 15th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RACINGLOU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RACINGLOU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RACINGLOU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $RACINGLOU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Racing Louisville FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Kansas City Current at Racing Louisville FC
Sign in to post a take on $CURRENTRACINGLOU261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Kansas City Current 2, Racing Louisville FC 0. Bandwagon's model had the Kansas City Current at 63% and projected Kansas City Current 1.8, Racing Louisville FC 1.3; spread Kansas City Current −0.5, total 3.