Gotham FC beat the Utah Royals 2-0 in the NWSL, and the final score is the whole story here. The crowd has not weighed in yet, with zero picks recorded, so the model's 60 percent for Gotham before kickoff is the only number on the board.
NWSL · · Sports Illustrated Stadium · every National Women's Soccer League line
Utah Royals vs Gotham FC: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreUtah Royals 0, Gotham FC 2 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerGotham FC 60%
- Pregame Projected scoreGotham FC 1.8, Utah Royals 0.8
- Model spreadGotham FC −1 total 2.5
- Margin2 projected 1
- Total2 projected 2.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Utah Royals or Gotham FC: the bandwagon
Bandwagon1 on the bandwagon so far
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 20–60Market –
FinalPregame: GFC 69%Baseline: GFC 88.5% (+19.0)Big swing: 18.1 ptsClutch window: 35:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GFC | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
UTA 45.3%GFC 54.7%
Utah Royals at Gotham FC win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.1 points for GFC over the last 10:00
Big swing18.1 ptstoward GFC at 10:00 of game time
Clutch window35:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineGFC 88.5%game average, +19.0 points from the pregame 69.5%
Utah Royals vs Gotham FC live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UTA | GFC |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | UTA45.3% | GFC54.7% |
| Shots | UTA6 | GFC8 |
| Shots on target | UTA2 | GFC3 |
| Corners | UTA2 | GFC2 |
| Passes completed | UTA260/362 | GFC348/443 |
| Saves | UTA1 | GFC2 |
| Fouls | UTA14 | GFC16 |
| Offsides | UTA6 | GFC0 |
| Yellow cards | UTA1 | GFC1 |
| Red cards | UTA0 | GFC0 |
Utah Royals vs Gotham FC team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UTA | GFC |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTA0 | GFC2 |
| Average win probability | UTA12% | GFC88% |
| Longest scoring run | UTA+0 | GFC+2 |
| Time leading | UTA0:00 | GFC80:00 |
Utah Royals vs Gotham FC odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 7:01 PM ET
Utah Royals20%
Win chanceGotham FC60%
SpreadGFC −1closing model spread
Total2.5
Moneyline+392away / +407draw / −150homeaway / draw / home
Line movementGFC win chance, 8 stored lines
+9 pts for GFC between Oct 29 and Nov 1
65%46%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | GFC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 7:01 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:01 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 60% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 7:59 AM ET | 59% | +8 |
| Oct 29, 6:02 AM ET | 51% | — |
- Ratings
- GFC 1601 · UTA 1486
- Home spread
- −1
- Stored
- Nov 1, 7:01 PM ET · 2026-11-02 00:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Utah Royals 0, Gotham FC 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Women's Soccer League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 1 pick
Be the first on the bandwagon
Utah RoyalsGotham FC
Neutrals only–
Utah RoyalsGotham FC
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Gotham FC–
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Utah Royals vs Gotham FC prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gotham FC a 1-point favorite at home, with a 60% chance to win and a 20% chance of a draw. The model total is 2.5. Ratings: Gotham FC 1608 (1st of 16), Utah Royals 1479 (10th). The Gotham FC are 17-5-7; the Utah Royals are 14-10-5. The Gotham FC have won 3 of their last 5; the Utah Royals 1 of their last 5. The two have met 5 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Gotham FC won 4, the Utah Royals 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Utah Royals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Gotham FC | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle Reign FC | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas City Current | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Racing Louisville FC | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Carolina Courage | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup |
Gotham FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah Royals | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Orlando Pride | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Spirit | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Angel City FC | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago Stars FC | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gotham FC at Utah Royals | 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Royals at Gotham FC | 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Gotham FC at Utah Royals | 3–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Gotham FC at Utah Royals | 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Royals at Gotham FC | 0–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Utah Royals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Gotham FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Utah Royals14-10-5 6th
- Utah Royals rating1479 10th of 16, 30 games
- Gotham FC17-5-7 1st
- Gotham FC rating1608 1st of 16, 30 games
Utah Royals 14-10-5
National Women's Soccer League · 6th
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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $UTAHROYALS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UTAHROYALS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $UTAHROYALS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
1 stance today on $UTAHROYALS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Royals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Gotham FC 17-5-7
National Women's Soccer League · 1st
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GOTHAM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GOTHAM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GOTHAM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $GOTHAM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Gotham FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Utah Royals at Gotham FC
Sign in to post a take on $UTAHROYALSGOTHAM261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.