Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund split the points the model doubted
The model gave the draw 23 percent before kickoff, and Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund finished level on 18 points each.
Fan sentiment, with a model to argue with. How it works · RSS
A measurement publication of fan sentiment, with a model to argue with. Every piece is by a named beat writer and written from numbers in Bandwagon's database. Every piece must pass the newsroom's automatic gates, is published under the editor's review and names the editor at its foot. A fixed number of columns a week, and at most one game preview a day from each beat writer, for a game picked from the numbers.
The model gave the draw 23 percent before kickoff, and Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund finished level on 18 points each.
Hamburg SV are 16th in the model's ratings and 5th on the points of their last 5 games, with 9 points from those results.
Every Thursday the model's side is recorded in the games where it and the crowd disagree most. Every Friday they are graded, hit or miss, on this page. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Weekly columns from Bandwagon's beat writers, each written from the numbers in Bandwagon's database: Early, the Bandwagon Index, Crowd vs Model and monthly team reports.