San Diego FC vs St. Louis CITY SC: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreSan Diego FC 1, St. Louis CITY SC 0 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerSt. Louis CITY SC 54%
- Pregame Projected scoreSt. Louis CITY SC 2.5, San Diego FC 1.5
- Model spreadSt. Louis CITY SC −1 total 4
- Margin1 projected 1
- Total1 projected 4
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
San Diego FC or St. Louis CITY SC: the bandwagon
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 21–54Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 |
San Diego FC at St. Louis CITY SC win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
San Diego FC vs St. Louis CITY SC live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SD | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | SD49.9% | STL50.1% |
| Shots | SD13 | STL16 |
| Shots on target | SD2 | STL7 |
| Corners | SD4 | STL3 |
| Passes completed | SD365/448 | STL360/442 |
| Saves | SD6 | STL1 |
| Fouls | SD14 | STL17 |
| Offsides | SD2 | STL4 |
| Yellow cards | SD1 | STL2 |
| Red cards | SD0 | STL0 |
San Diego FC vs St. Louis CITY SC team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SD | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SD1 | STL0 |
| Average win probability | SD63% | STL37% |
| Longest scoring run | SD+1 | STL+0 |
| Time leading | SD50:00 | STL0:00 |
San Diego FC vs St. Louis CITY SC odds
Every stored line
| Stored | STL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 4:12 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:12 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:06 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 54% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 53% | — |
- Ratings
- STL 1525 · SD 1458
- Home spread
- −1
- Stored
- Oct 31, 4:12 PM ET · 2026-10-31 20:12 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: San Diego FC 1, St. Louis CITY SC 0. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Major League Soccer a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:35 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 5:30 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
San Diego FC vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the St. Louis CITY SC a 1-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win and a 25% chance of a draw. The model total is 4. Ratings: St. Louis CITY SC 1511 (10th of 30), San Diego FC 1472 (21st). The St. Louis CITY SC are 14-10-9; the San Diego FC are 9-13-11. The St. Louis CITY SC have won 0 of their last 5; the San Diego FC 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the St. Louis CITY SC won 0, the San Diego FC 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
San Diego FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at St. Louis CITY SC | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vancouver Whitecaps | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle Sounders FC | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LA Galaxy | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Dynamo FC | T 3–3 | – | – | matchup |
St. Louis CITY SC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego FC | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland Timbers | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Real Salt Lake | L 0–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota United FC | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vancouver Whitecaps | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis CITY SC at San Diego FC | 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Diego FC at St. Louis CITY SC | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis CITY SC at San Diego FC | 0–0 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
San Diego FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
St. Louis CITY SC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- San Diego FC9-13-11 13th
- San Diego FC rating1472 21st of 30, 33 games
- St. Louis CITY SC14-10-9 4th
- St. Louis CITY SC rating1511 10th of 30, 33 games
San Diego FC 9-13-11
Major League Soccer · 13th
No stances yet today on $SANDIEGO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Diego FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
St. Louis CITY SC 14-10-9
Major League Soccer · 4th
No stances yet today on $STLOUIS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Louis CITY SC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on San Diego FC at St. Louis CITY SC
Sign in to post a take on $SANDIEGOSTLOUIS261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Final: San Diego FC 1, St. Louis CITY SC 0. Bandwagon's model had the St. Louis CITY SC at 54% and projected St. Louis CITY SC 2.5, San Diego FC 1.5; spread St. Louis CITY SC −1, total 4.