MLS opens with Portland and Houston level at 0-0 in the second minute. The model has the home side at 42 percent, and the crowd has cast zero picks, so there is no fan signal yet.
MLS · · Providence Park · every Major League Soccer line
Houston Dynamo FC vs Portland Timbers: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreHouston Dynamo FC 1, Portland Timbers 3 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerPortland Timbers 42%
- Pregame Projected scorelevel, 1.5 each draw 27%
- Model spreadeven total 3
- Margin2 projected 0
- Total4 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Houston Dynamo FC or Portland Timbers: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 31–42Market –
FinalPregame: POR 55%Baseline: POR 79.5% (+24.2)Big swing: 25.8 ptsClutch window: 27:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| POR | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
HOU 54.6%POR 45.4%
Houston Dynamo FC at Portland Timbers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.1 points for POR over the last 10:00
Big swing25.8 ptstoward POR at 26:00 of game time
Clutch window27:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselinePOR 79.5%game average, +24.2 points from the pregame 55.3%
Houston Dynamo FC vs Portland Timbers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | HOU | POR |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | HOU54.6% | POR45.4% |
| Shots | HOU7 | POR16 |
| Shots on target | HOU1 | POR6 |
| Corners | HOU6 | POR6 |
| Passes completed | HOU475/534 | POR379/438 |
| Saves | HOU4 | POR0 |
| Fouls | HOU12 | POR11 |
| Offsides | HOU0 | POR2 |
| Yellow cards | HOU2 | POR2 |
| Red cards | HOU0 | POR0 |
Houston Dynamo FC vs Portland Timbers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | HOU | POR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | HOU1 | POR3 |
| Average win probability | HOU21% | POR79% |
| Longest scoring run | HOU+1 | POR+2 |
| Time leading | HOU0:00 | POR64:00 |
Houston Dynamo FC vs Portland Timbers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 9:23 PM ET
Houston Dynamo FC31%
Win chancePortland Timbers42%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+221away / +267draw / +140homeaway / draw / home
Line movementPOR win chance, 13 stored lines
+2 pts for POR between Oct 29 and Nov 1
47%34%
Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | POR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 9:23 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 9:23 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:41 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:44 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:11 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:12 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:06 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 42% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 40% | — |
- Ratings
- POR 1466 · HOU 1507
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 1, 9:23 PM ET · 2026-11-02 02:23 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Houston Dynamo FC 1, Portland Timbers 3. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Major League Soccer a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:35 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 1 pick
Be the first on the bandwagon
Houston Dynamo FCPortland Timbers
Neutrals only–
Houston Dynamo FCPortland Timbers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Portland Timbers–
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Houston Dynamo FC vs Portland Timbers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Portland Timbers the favorite, with a 42% chance to win and a 27% chance of a draw; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 3. Ratings: Portland Timbers 1478 (19th of 30), Houston Dynamo FC 1494 (14th). The Portland Timbers are 12-14-7; the Houston Dynamo FC are 14-10-9. The Portland Timbers have won 3 of their last 5; the Houston Dynamo FC 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Portland Timbers won 1, the Houston Dynamo FC 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Houston Dynamo FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Portland Timbers | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seattle Sounders FC | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota United FC | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs FC Dallas | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Diego FC | T 3–3 | – | – | matchup |
Portland Timbers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Houston Dynamo FC | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Louis CITY SC | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte FC | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado Rapids | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LA Galaxy | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers at Houston Dynamo FC | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Portland Timbers at Houston Dynamo FC | 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Dynamo FC at Portland Timbers | 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Dynamo FC at Portland Timbers | 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Portland Timbers at Houston Dynamo FC | 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Dynamo FC at Portland Timbers | 3–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Houston Dynamo FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Portland Timbers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Houston Dynamo FC14-10-9 5th
- Houston Dynamo FC rating1494 14th of 30, 33 games
- Portland Timbers12-14-7 8th
- Portland Timbers rating1478 19th of 30, 33 games
Houston Dynamo FC 14-10-9
Major League Soccer · 5th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HOUSTON
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HOUSTON
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $HOUSTON
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $HOUSTON: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Houston Dynamo FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Portland Timbers 12-14-7
Major League Soccer · 8th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PORTLAND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PORTLAND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PORTLAND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $PORTLAND: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Portland Timbers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Houston Dynamo FC at Portland Timbers
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