William & Mary Tribe vs Youngstown State Penguins prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
William & Mary at Youngstown State: Bandwagon's model makes Youngstown State a 56% favorite (Youngstown State −3).
William & Mary Tribe vs Youngstown State Penguins odds and win probability
Axle gives Youngstown State a 56% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Youngstown State
All CBB ratings| W&M | YSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1545 104th of 365 | 1493 188th of 365 |
| Record | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | YSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 56% | −2 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:58 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 58% | — |
William & Mary Tribe vs Youngstown State Penguins prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Penguins a 3-point favorite at home, with a 56% chance to win. The model total is 149. Ratings: Penguins 1493 (188th of 365), Tribe 1545 (104th). The Penguins are 1-2; the Tribe are 2-0. The Penguins have won 1 of their last 5; the Tribe 4 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
William & Mary Tribe
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Norfolk State Spartans | W 104–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Hofstra Pride | L 61–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Elon Phoenix | W 72–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hampton Pirates | W 94–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Carolina A&T Aggies | W 91–88 | – | – | matchup |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Central Michigan Chippewas | L 78–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ohio State Buckeyes | L 65–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W 79–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Robert Morris Colonials | L 53–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Phoenix | L 63–85 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
William & Mary Tribe: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Youngstown State Penguins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tribe2-0 3rd · W2
- Tribe rating1545 104th of 365, 1 games
- Penguins1-2 9th · L2
- Penguins rating1493 188th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $WMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the William & Mary Tribe bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $YSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Youngstown State Penguins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on William & Mary Tribe at Youngstown State Penguins
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Youngstown State 56% to win. Projected score Youngstown State 76, William & Mary 73; spread Youngstown State −3, total 149. William & Mary Tribe at Youngstown State Penguins, Sun, Nov 22, 2:00 PM ET.