Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane prediction, odds and picks, November 16, 2026
- Projected winnerTulsa 76%
- Projected scoreTulsa 77, Western Kentucky 68
- Model spreadTulsa −9 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers or Tulsa Golden Hurricane: the bandwagon
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Axle 24–76Market –
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Tulsa Golden Hurricane win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | WKU | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WKU– | TLSA– |
| Average win probability | WKU– | TLSA– |
| Longest scoring run | WKU– | TLSA– |
| Time leading | WKU– | TLSA– |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane odds
Every stored line
| Stored | TLSA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | — |
- Ratings
- TLSA 1597 · WKU 1512
- Home spread
- −9
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Hurricane a 9-point favorite at home, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Golden Hurricane 1597 (47th of 361), Hilltoppers 1512 (156th). The Golden Hurricane are 1-0; the Hilltoppers are 1-0. The Golden Hurricane have won 4 of their last 5; the Hilltoppers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Golden Hurricane won 1, the Hilltoppers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Morehead State Eagles | W 83–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kennesaw State Owls | L 87–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida International Panthers | L 67–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Missouri State Bears | L 74–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UTEP Miners | W 97–65 | – | – | matchup |
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Auburn Tigers | L 86–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Mexico Lobos | W 74–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wichita State Shockers | W 83–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNLV Rebels | W 77–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | W 89–84 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 82–81 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Hilltoppers1-0 8th · W1
- Hilltoppers rating1512 156th of 361, 1 games
- Golden Hurricane1-0 10th · W1
- Golden Hurricane rating1597 47th of 361, 0 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $WKUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TLSAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Tulsa Golden Hurricane
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Model: Tulsa 76% to win. Projected score Tulsa 77, Western Kentucky 68; spread Tulsa −9, total 145.5. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Mon, Nov 16, 7:00 PM ET.