Washington State Cougars vs Duke Blue Devils prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Washington State at Duke: Bandwagon's model makes Duke a 96% favorite (Duke −23).
Washington State Cougars vs Duke Blue Devils odds and win probability
Axle gives Duke a 96% chance to win, by about 23 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
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Why Axle has Duke
All CBB ratings| WSU | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1439 267th of 365 | 1772 1st of 365 |
| Record | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | DUKE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 96% | +7 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:03 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 89% | — |
Washington State Cougars vs Duke Blue Devils prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Devils a 23-point favorite, with a 96% chance to win. The model total is 146. Ratings: Blue Devils 1772 (1st of 365), Cougars 1439 (267th). The Blue Devils are 2-1; the Cougars are 0-3. The Blue Devils have won 3 of their last 5; the Cougars 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Washington State Cougars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Duquesne Dukes | L 71–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at High Point Panthers | L 71–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Davidson Wildcats | L 61–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland Pilots | L 68–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pepperdine Waves | L 79–88 | – | – | matchup |
Duke Blue Devils
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Michigan State Spartans | L 73–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | W 113–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Army Black Knights | W 84–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UConn Huskies | L 72–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs St. John's Red Storm | W 80–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Washington State Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Duke Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cougars0-3 9th · L3
- Cougars rating1439 267th of 365, 2 games
- Blue Devils2-1 14th · L1
- Blue Devils rating1772 1st of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $WSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Washington State Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Duke Blue Devils 2-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 14th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $DUKEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Duke Blue Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Washington State Cougars at Duke Blue Devils
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Duke 96% to win. Projected score Duke 84, Washington State 62; spread Duke −23, total 146. Washington State Cougars at Duke Blue Devils, Sat, Nov 21, 11:00 PM ET.