South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs Idaho State Bengals prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
South Dakota State at Idaho State: Bandwagon's model makes Idaho State a 52% favorite (Idaho State −2).
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs Idaho State Bengals odds and win probability
Axle gives Idaho State a 52% chance to win, by about 2 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Idaho State
All CBB ratings| SDST | IDST | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1481 213th of 365 | 1387 329th of 365 |
| Record | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | IDST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:23 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 52% | −2 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:35 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:14 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 54% | — |
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs Idaho State Bengals prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bengals a 2-point favorite at home, with a 52% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Bengals 1387 (329th of 365), Jackrabbits 1481 (213th). The Bengals are 0-3; the Jackrabbits are 2-0. The Bengals have won 1 of their last 5; the Jackrabbits 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Kansas State Wildcats | W 68–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Thomas Tommies | L 67–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Dakota Coyotes | L 70–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas City Roos | W 73–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks | W 91–83 | – | – | matchup |
Idaho State Bengals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Air Force Falcons | L 82–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wyoming Cowboys | L 62–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah State Aggies | L 58–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland State Vikings | L 78–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W 73–65 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
South Dakota State Jackrabbits: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Idaho State Bengals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jackrabbits2-0 1st · W2
- Jackrabbits rating1481 213th of 365, 1 games
- Bengals0-3 9th · L3
- Bengals rating1387 329th of 365, 3 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $SDSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Dakota State Jackrabbits bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $IDSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Idaho State Bengals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Idaho State Bengals
Sign in to post a take on $SDSTMBBIDSTMBB261120: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Idaho State 52% to win. Projected score Idaho State 74, South Dakota State 72; spread Idaho State −2, total 145.5. South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Idaho State Bengals, Fri, Nov 20, 4:00 PM ET.