Early in the first period at Chicago State, South Carolina State leads 5-3 with 17:44 left. The model has the Cougars at 60 percent, but no crowd picks are logged yet for this game.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Emil and Patricia Jones Convocation Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs Chicago State Cougars: final score and how the prediction did, November 9, 2026
South Carolina State at Chicago State: Bandwagon's model made Chicago State a 60% favorite (Chicago State −4); the DraftKings closing line was Chicago State −1.5 with a total of 144.5, as of Nov 9, 6:56 p.m. ET.
- Final scoreSouth Carolina State 82, Chicago State 67 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerChicago State 60%
- Pregame Projected scoreChicago State 75, South Carolina State 71
- Model spreadChicago State −4 total 145.5
- Margin15 projected 3.9
- Total149 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
South Carolina State Bulldogs or Chicago State Cougars: the bandwagon
Axle pregame 40–60Market 39–61
FinalPregame: CHST 60%Baseline: CHST 10.3% (−49.5)Big swing: 18.3 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCST | 53 | 29 | 82 |
| CHST | 33 | 34 | 67 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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South Carolina State Bulldogs at Chicago State Cougars win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for CHST over the last 5:00
Big swing18.3 ptstoward SCST at 3:26 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineCHST 10.3%game average, −49.5 points from the pregame 59.8%
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs Chicago State Cougars live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SCST | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | SCST27/48 | CHST15/48 |
| 3-pointers | SCST9/22 | CHST7/23 |
| Free throws | SCST19/25 | CHST30/36 |
| Rebounds | SCST27 | CHST25 |
| Assists | SCST21 | CHST7 |
| Turnovers | SCST16 | CHST16 |
| Steals | SCST7 | CHST5 |
| Blocks | SCST4 | CHST0 |
| Points in the paint | SCST26 | CHST8 |
| Fast-break points | SCST7 | CHST12 |
| Fouls | SCST28 | CHST22 |
| Largest lead | SCST22 | CHST1 |
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs Chicago State Cougars team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SCST | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SCST82 | CHST67 |
| Average win probability | SCST90% | CHST10% |
| Longest scoring run | SCST+13 | CHST+7 |
| Time leading | SCST37:32 | CHST0:00 |
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs Chicago State Cougars model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET
Bulldogs40%
Win chanceCougars60%
SpreadCHST −4closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+148away / −148homeaway / home
Line movementCHST win chance, 88 stored lines
−5 pts for CHST between Oct 29 and Nov 9
71%53%
Oct 29Nov 4Nov 9
Every stored line
| Stored | CHST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:29 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 12:19 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:24 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:02 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:36 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:31 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:11 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:56 PM ET | 60% | −2 |
| Nov 6, 7:32 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 10:57 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 9:33 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 9:28 PM ET | 62% | +3 |
| Nov 5, 9:23 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 9:18 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 9:13 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 9:08 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 8:38 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 7:33 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET | 59% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 58% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 59% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 60% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 59% | −6 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- CHST 1396 · SCST 1436
- Home spread
- −4
- Stored
- Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET · 2026-11-10 02:08 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: South Carolina State Bulldogs 82, Chicago State Cougars 67. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
BulldogsCougars
Neutrals only–
BulldogsCougars
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Cougars–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
DraftKings line, closing
| Axle | DraftKings line (closing) | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chicago State −4 | Chicago State −1.5 |
| Total | 145.5 | 144.5 |
| Moneyline (away / home) | +148 / −148 | +114 / −135 |
DraftKings line: the spread, total and moneylines DraftKings published for this game, the last complete ones read before the game started, as read from a public league scoreboard feed, as of ; these figures have stood since . Shown for comparison; Axle never reads them (how the comparison works).
South Carolina State vs Chicago State odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every Men's college basketball marketKalshi had Cougars at 55% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 68% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 60% when last read, ; the two venues were 13 points apart at those reads.
| Source | SCST | CHST | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 45% | 55% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 32% | 68% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 40% | 60% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, CHST: −5Polymarket minus model, CHST: +8
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs Chicago State Cougars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cougars a 4-point favorite at home, with a 60% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Cougars 1370 (341st of 365), Bulldogs 1463 (235th). The Cougars are 1-2; the Bulldogs are 3-0. The Cougars have won 1 of their last 5; the Bulldogs 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Cougars won 0, the Bulldogs 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
South Carolina State Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Chicago State Cougars | W 82–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Upstate Spartans | W 78–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Howard Bison | L 61–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Norfolk State Spartans | W 88–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Carolina Central Eagles | W 80–64 | – | – | matchup |
Chicago State Cougars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs South Carolina State Bulldogs | L 67–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Incarnate Word Cardinals | W 66–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 59–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Long Island University Sharks | L 75–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wagner Seahawks | L 61–80 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago State Cougars at South Carolina State Bulldogs | 55–78 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
South Carolina State Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Chicago State Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bulldogs3-0 2nd · W3
- Bulldogs rating1463 235th of 365, 2 games
- Cougars1-2 2nd · L1
- Cougars rating1370 341st of 365, 3 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W3
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SCSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SCSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SCSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SCSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina State Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CHSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CHSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CHSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CHSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago State Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on South Carolina State Bulldogs at Chicago State Cougars
Sign in to post a take on $SCSTMBBCHSTMBB261109: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: South Carolina State 82, Chicago State 67. Bandwagon's model had the Chicago State at 60% and projected Chicago State 75, South Carolina State 71; spread Chicago State −4, total 145.5. Last read: Kalshi 55%, Polymarket 68% for Chicago State.