Seattle U Redhawks vs UC San Diego Tritons prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Seattle U at UC San Diego: Bandwagon's model makes UC San Diego a 56% favorite (UC San Diego −3).
Seattle U Redhawks vs UC San Diego Tritons odds and win probability
Axle gives UC San Diego a 56% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has UC San Diego
All CBB ratings| SEA | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1546 99th of 365 | 1568 78th of 365 |
| Record | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | W2 |
| Meetings won | 3 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UCSD win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 56% | — |
Seattle U Redhawks vs UC San Diego Tritons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tritons a 3-point favorite, with a 56% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Tritons 1568 (78th of 365), Redhawks 1546 (99th). The Tritons are 2-0; the Redhawks are 1-1. The Tritons have won 3 of their last 5; the Redhawks 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Tritons won 0, the Redhawks 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Seattle U Redhawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Portland State Vikings | W 79–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | L 73–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Auburn Tigers | L 85–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs St. Thomas Tommies | W 67–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pacific Tigers | L 58–61 | – | – | matchup |
UC San Diego Tritons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Fresno State Bulldogs | W 81–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cal State Northridge Matadors | L 70–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal Poly Mustangs | W 72–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | W 64–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cal State Fullerton Titans | L 71–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle U Redhawks at UC San Diego Tritons | 84–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| UC San Diego Tritons at Seattle U Redhawks | 67–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle U Redhawks at UC San Diego Tritons | 85–71 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Seattle U Redhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UC San Diego Tritons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Redhawks1-1 8th · W1
- Redhawks rating1546 99th of 365, 2 games
- Tritons2-0 4th · W2
- Tritons rating1568 78th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SEAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Seattle U Redhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $UCSDMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UC San Diego Tritons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Seattle U Redhawks at UC San Diego Tritons
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: UC San Diego 56% to win. Projected score UC San Diego 74, Seattle U 71; spread UC San Diego −3, total 145.5. Seattle U Redhawks at UC San Diego Tritons, Sun, Nov 22, 9:30 PM ET.