Saint Louis Billikens vs Saint Mary's Gaels prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Saint Louis at Saint Mary's: Bandwagon's model makes Saint Mary's a 53% favorite (Saint Mary's −2).
Saint Louis Billikens vs Saint Mary's Gaels odds and win probability
Axle gives Saint Mary's a 53% chance to win, by about 2 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Saint Mary's
All CBB ratings| SLU | SMC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1645 25th of 365 | 1669 15th of 365 |
| Record | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SMC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 53% | −16 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:12 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:35 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:50 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 69% | — |
Saint Louis Billikens vs Saint Mary's Gaels prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gaels a 2-point favorite at home, with a 53% chance to win. The model total is 157. Ratings: Gaels 1669 (15th of 365), Billikens 1645 (25th). The Gaels are 2-1; the Billikens are 3-0. The Gaels have won 2 of their last 5; the Billikens 4 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Saint Louis Billikens
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Northern Kentucky Norse | W 125–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Missouri Tigers | W 90–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks | W 92–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan Wolverines | L 72–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Bulldogs | W 102–77 | – | – | matchup |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Nevada Wolf Pack | L 95–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Dakota State Bison | W 105–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois State Redbirds | W 90–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas A&M Aggies | L 50–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Santa Clara Broncos | L 71–76 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Saint Louis Billikens: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Saint Mary's Gaels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Billikens3-0 6th · W3
- Billikens rating1645 25th of 365, 2 games
- Gaels2-1 6th · L1
- Gaels rating1669 15th of 365, 3 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $SLUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Saint Louis Billikens bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $SMCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Saint Mary's Gaels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Saint Louis Billikens at Saint Mary's Gaels
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Saint Mary's 53% to win. Projected score Saint Mary's 80, Saint Louis 77; spread Saint Mary's −2, total 157. Saint Louis Billikens at Saint Mary's Gaels, Fri, Nov 20, 11:00 PM ET.