Rhode Island Rams vs Liberty Flames prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Rhode Island at Liberty: Bandwagon's model makes Liberty a 56% favorite (Liberty −3).
Rhode Island Rams vs Liberty Flames odds and win probability
Axle gives Liberty a 56% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
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Why Axle has Liberty
All CBB ratings| URI | LIB | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1528 135th of 365 | 1550 92nd of 365 |
| Record | 3-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W3 | W1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | LIB win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 56% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 57% | −3 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:29 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 60% | — |
Rhode Island Rams vs Liberty Flames prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Flames a 3-point favorite, with a 56% chance to win. The model total is 144.5. Ratings: Flames 1550 (92nd of 365), Rams 1528 (135th). The Flames are 1-1; the Rams are 3-0. The Flames have won 2 of their last 5; the Rams 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Rhode Island Rams
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Maine Black Bears | W 71–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Monmouth Hawks | W 84–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Holy Cross Crusaders | W 103–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Duquesne Dukes | L 61–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fordham Rams | L 49–61 | – | – | matchup |
Liberty Flames
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at High Point Panthers | L 57–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nevada Wolf Pack | L 63–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at George Mason Patriots | W 77–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Bears | L 69–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sam Houston Bearkats | W 79–72 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Rhode Island Rams: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Liberty Flames: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Rams3-0 4th · W3
- Rams rating1528 135th of 365, 2 games
- Flames1-1 8th · W1
- Flames rating1550 92nd of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $URIMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rhode Island Rams bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Liberty Flames 1-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $LIBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Liberty Flames bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Rhode Island Rams at Liberty Flames
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Liberty 56% to win. Projected score Liberty 74, Rhode Island 71; spread Liberty −3, total 144.5. Rhode Island Rams at Liberty Flames, Fri, Nov 20, 4:30 PM ET.