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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

New Hampshire Wildcats vs New Haven Chargers prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026

New Hampshire at New Haven: Bandwagon's model makes New Haven a 55% favorite (New Haven −2.5).

New Hampshire Wildcats vs New Haven Chargers odds and win probability

UNH · AWAYNew Hampshire2-1 · won 3 of last 5
Tip-off
NHVN · HOMENew Haven1-2 · won 2 of last 5

Axle gives New Haven a 55% chance to win, by about 3 points.

New Hampshire 45%New Haven 55%
Projected score68–71New Hampshire–New Haven
Model spreadNHVN −2.5UNH +2.5
Model total139.5points
Model moneyline+121 / −121UNH / NHVN

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has New Haven

All CBB ratings
UNH and NHVN side by side
UNHNHVN
Rating1405 309th of 3651416 296th of 365
Record2-11-2
Last 5 games3-22-3
StreakL1W1
Home fieldNoYes

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementNHVN win chance, 37 stored lines
−10 pts for NHVN since Nov 8
72%49%
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET: NHVN 65%Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 9, 11:58 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET: NHVN 67%Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET: NHVN 55%Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET: NHVN 55%
Nov 8Nov 9Now
Every stored line
StoredNHVN winMove
Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET55%0
Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET55%−12
Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET67%0
Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET67%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET67%0
Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET67%0
Nov 9, 11:58 PM ET67%0
Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET67%0
Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET67%0
Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET67%0
Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET67%0
Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET67%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET67%0
Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET67%0
Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET67%0
Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET67%0
Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET67%0
Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET67%0
Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET67%0
Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET67%0
Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET67%0
Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET67%0
Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET67%0
Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET67%+2
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET65%—

New Hampshire Wildcats vs New Haven Chargers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Chargers a 2.5-point favorite at home, with a 55% chance to win. The model total is 139.5. Ratings: Chargers 1416 (296th of 365), Wildcats 1405 (309th). The Chargers are 1-2; the Wildcats are 2-1. The Chargers have won 2 of their last 5; the Wildcats 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

New Hampshire Wildcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Sacred Heart PioneersL 76–81––matchup
at Rider BroncsW 66–55––matchup
at Brown BearsW 59–55––matchup
at UMBC RetrieversL 69–84––matchup
vs Bryant BulldogsW 88–83––matchup

New Haven Chargers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Army Black KnightsW 63–55––matchup
at Rutgers Scarlet KnightsL 54–81––matchup
at Syracuse OrangeL 58–74––matchup
vs Le Moyne DolphinsW 66–59––matchup
at Wagner SeahawksL 62–65––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

New Hampshire Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

New Haven Chargers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Wildcats2-1 3rd · L1
  • Wildcats rating1405 309th of 365, 3 games
  • Chargers1-2 6th · W1
  • Chargers rating1416 296th of 365, 2 games

More CBB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

New Hampshire Wildcats 2-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak L1

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UNHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UNHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UNHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UNHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Hampshire Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Wildcats roster, schedule and more

New Haven Chargers 1-2

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W1

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NHVNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NHVNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NHVNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NHVNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Haven Chargers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Chargers roster, schedule and more

Takes on New Hampshire Wildcats at New Haven Chargers

Sign in to post a take on $UNHMBBNHVNMBB261121: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Model: New Haven 55% to win. Projected score New Haven 71, New Hampshire 68; spread New Haven −2.5, total 139.5. New Hampshire Wildcats at New Haven Chargers, Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 AM ET.