Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs Youngstown State Penguins prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
Maryland Eastern Shore at Youngstown State: Bandwagon's model makes Youngstown State an 85% favorite (Youngstown State −12.5).
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs Youngstown State Penguins odds and win probability
Axle gives Youngstown State a 85% chance to win, by about 13 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Youngstown State
All CBB ratings| UMES | YSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1364 347th of 365 | 1493 188th of 365 |
| Record | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | YSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 85% | +3 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 82% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | — |
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs Youngstown State Penguins prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Penguins a 12.5-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 145. Ratings: Penguins 1493 (188th of 365), Hawks 1364 (347th). The Penguins are 1-2; the Hawks are 1-3. The Penguins have won 1 of their last 5; the Hawks 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Boston College Eagles | L 54–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at High Point Panthers | L 49–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L 62–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Carolina Central Eagles | L 76–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Delaware State Hornets | L 56–57 | – | – | matchup |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Central Michigan Chippewas | L 78–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ohio State Buckeyes | L 65–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W 79–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Robert Morris Colonials | L 53–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Phoenix | L 63–85 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Youngstown State Penguins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Hawks1-3 7th · L1
- Hawks rating1364 347th of 365, 2 games
- Penguins1-2 9th · L2
- Penguins rating1493 188th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UMESMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $YSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Youngstown State Penguins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Youngstown State Penguins
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Youngstown State 85% to win. Projected score Youngstown State 79, Maryland Eastern Shore 66; spread Youngstown State −12.5, total 145. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Youngstown State Penguins, Mon, Nov 23, 6:30 PM ET.