Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown State Penguins prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
- Projected winnerYoungstown State 66%
- Projected scoreYoungstown State 76, Marshall 71
- Model spreadYoungstown State −5.5 total 147
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Marshall Thundering Herd or Youngstown State Penguins: the bandwagon
Axle 34–66Market –
Marshall Thundering Herd at Youngstown State Penguins win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown State Penguins live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown State Penguins team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MRSH | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MRSH– | YSU– |
| Average win probability | MRSH– | YSU– |
| Longest scoring run | MRSH– | YSU– |
| Time leading | MRSH– | YSU– |
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown State Penguins odds
Every stored line
| Stored | YSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 66% | −2 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 68% | +3 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- YSU 1506 · MRSH 1505
- Home spread
- −5.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown State Penguins prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Penguins a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 66% chance to win. The model total is 147. Ratings: Penguins 1506 (168th of 361), Thundering Herd 1505 (169th). The Penguins are 1-0; the Thundering Herd are 1-0. The Penguins have won 2 of their last 5; the Thundering Herd 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Buffalo Bulls | W 92–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | L 78–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | L 82–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | W 97–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L 75–79 | – | – | matchup |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W 79–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Robert Morris Colonials | L 53–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Phoenix | L 63–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Milwaukee Panthers | L 65–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Kentucky Norse | W 64–58 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Marshall Thundering Herd: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Youngstown State Penguins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Thundering Herd1-0 5th · W1
- Thundering Herd rating1505 169th of 361, 1 games
- Penguins1-0 5th · W1
- Penguins rating1506 168th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MRSHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marshall Thundering Herd bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $YSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Youngstown State Penguins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Marshall Thundering Herd at Youngstown State Penguins
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Model: Youngstown State 66% to win. Projected score Youngstown State 76, Marshall 71; spread Youngstown State −5.5, total 147. Marshall Thundering Herd at Youngstown State Penguins, Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET.