Maine Black Bears vs Massachusetts Minutemen prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Maine at Massachusetts: Bandwagon's model makes Massachusetts a 79% favorite (Massachusetts −10).
Maine Black Bears vs Massachusetts Minutemen odds and win probability
Axle gives Massachusetts a 79% chance to win, by about 10 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Massachusetts
All CBB ratings| ME | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1371 340th of 365 | 1485 205th of 365 |
| Record | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MASS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 79% | +2 |
| Nov 8, 3:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 77% | — |
Maine Black Bears vs Massachusetts Minutemen prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Minutemen a 10-point favorite at home, with a 79% chance to win. The model total is 142. Ratings: Minutemen 1485 (205th of 365), Black Bears 1371 (340th). The Minutemen are 1-1; the Black Bears are 1-3. The Minutemen have won 3 of their last 5; the Black Bears 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Maine Black Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Rhode Island Rams | L 65–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Manhattan Jaspers | L 62–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sacred Heart Pioneers | W 74–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Providence Friars | L 56–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at NJIT Highlanders | L 58–60 | – | – | matchup |
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Boston College Eagles | L 55–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Troy Trojans | W 71–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toledo Rockets | L 67–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | W 87–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ohio Bobcats | W 94–82 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Maine Black Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Massachusetts Minutemen: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Black Bears1-3 8th · L2
- Black Bears rating1371 340th of 365, 3 games
- Minutemen1-1 9th · L1
- Minutemen rating1485 205th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $MEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Maine Black Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MASSMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Massachusetts Minutemen bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Maine Black Bears at Massachusetts Minutemen
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Massachusetts 79% to win. Projected score Massachusetts 76, Maine 66; spread Massachusetts −10, total 142. Maine Black Bears at Massachusetts Minutemen, Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM ET.