Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Loyola Maryland at Virginia: Bandwagon's model makes Virginia a 92% favorite (Virginia −17).
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Virginia Cavaliers odds and win probability
Axle gives Virginia a 92% chance to win, by about 17 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Virginia
All CBB ratings| L-MD | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1402 313th of 365 | 1691 12th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | W4 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UVA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 92% | +2 |
| Nov 8, 3:03 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:07 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:52 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:14 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:09 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 90% | — |
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cavaliers a 17-point favorite at home, with a 92% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Cavaliers 1691 (12th of 365), Greyhounds 1402 (313th). The Cavaliers are 4-0; the Greyhounds are 1-2. The Cavaliers have won 4 of their last 5; the Greyhounds 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | L 57–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgetown Hoyas | L 58–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colgate Raiders | L 77–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Holy Cross Crusaders | W 76–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Navy Midshipmen | L 51–78 | – | – | matchup |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Bucknell Bison | W 95–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas Razorbacks | W 91–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northeastern Huskies | W 97–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Drexel Dragons | W 89–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Volunteers | L 72–79 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Virginia Cavaliers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Greyhounds1-2 6th · W1
- Greyhounds rating1402 313th of 365, 2 games
- Cavaliers4-0 1st · W4
- Cavaliers rating1691 12th of 365, 3 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $LMDMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Loyola Maryland Greyhounds bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W4
No stances yet today on $UVAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Virginia Cavaliers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Loyola Maryland Greyhounds at Virginia Cavaliers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Virginia 92% to win. Projected score Virginia 81, Loyola Maryland 64; spread Virginia −17, total 145.5. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds at Virginia Cavaliers, Fri, Nov 20, 7:00 PM ET.