Little Rock Trojans vs North Florida Ospreys prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Little Rock at North Florida: Bandwagon's model has this one even.
Little Rock Trojans vs North Florida Ospreys odds and win probability
Axle has this one even: Little Rock 49%, North Florida 51%.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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How the two sides compare
All CBB ratings| LR | UNF | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1404 311th of 365 | 1387 330th of 365 |
| Record | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UNF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 51% | −12 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 63% | −1 |
| Nov 9, 8:13 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:03 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 64% | — |
Little Rock Trojans vs North Florida Ospreys prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Ospreys. The model total is 149. Ratings: Ospreys 1387 (330th of 365), Trojans 1404 (311th). The Ospreys are 1-2; the Trojans are 0-3. The Ospreys have won 1 of their last 5; the Trojans 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Little Rock Trojans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New Mexico Lobos | L 69–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SE Louisiana Lions | L 79–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at VCU Rams | L 72–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Morehead State Eagles | L 70–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | L 65–70 | – | – | matchup |
North Florida Ospreys
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Miami Hurricanes | L 51–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 63–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Baptist Lancers | W 71–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Georgia Wolves | L 85–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jacksonville Dolphins | L 61–85 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Little Rock Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
North Florida Ospreys: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Trojans0-3 9th · L3
- Trojans rating1404 311th of 365, 2 games
- Ospreys1-2 6th · L2
- Ospreys rating1387 330th of 365, 3 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $LRMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Little Rock Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $UNFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Florida Ospreys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Little Rock Trojans at North Florida Ospreys
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: even. Projected score North Florida 75, Little Rock 74; spread North Florida −1.5, total 149. Little Rock Trojans at North Florida Ospreys, Sat, Nov 21, 2:00 PM ET.