Iowa Hawkeyes vs Xavier Musketeers prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Iowa at Xavier: Bandwagon's model makes Xavier a 69% favorite (Xavier −6.5).
Iowa Hawkeyes vs Xavier Musketeers odds and win probability
Axle gives Xavier a 69% chance to win, by about 7 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Xavier
All CBB ratings| IOWA | XAV | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1623 39th of 365 | 1530 131st of 365 |
| Record | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | XAV win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 69% | +14 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 55% | +3 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:03 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:40 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:29 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:04 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 52% | — |
Iowa Hawkeyes vs Xavier Musketeers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Musketeers a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 146. Ratings: Musketeers 1530 (131st of 365), Hawkeyes 1623 (39th). The Musketeers are 3-0; the Hawkeyes are 2-1. The Musketeers have won 4 of their last 5; the Hawkeyes 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Musketeers won 0, the Hawkeyes 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Virginia Tech Hokies | L 88–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Illinois Panthers | W 91–47 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lipscomb Bisons | W 76–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois Fighting Illini | L 59–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nebraska Cornhuskers | W 77–71 | – | – | matchup |
Xavier Musketeers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit Mercy Titans | W 100–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | W 76–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | W 97–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UConn Huskies | L 68–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marquette Golden Eagles | W 89–87 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers at Iowa Hawkeyes | 62–81 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Iowa Hawkeyes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Xavier Musketeers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Hawkeyes2-1 13th · L1
- Hawkeyes rating1623 39th of 365, 2 games
- Musketeers3-0 5th · W3
- Musketeers rating1530 131st of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Iowa Hawkeyes 2-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 13th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $IOWAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Iowa Hawkeyes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $XAVMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Xavier Musketeers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Iowa Hawkeyes at Xavier Musketeers
Sign in to post a take on $IOWAMBBXAVMBB261121: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.