Georgia State Panthers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Georgia State at Jacksonville State: Bandwagon's model makes Jacksonville State a 77% favorite (Jacksonville State −9).
Georgia State Panthers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks odds and win probability
Axle gives Jacksonville State a 77% chance to win, by about 9 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Jacksonville State
All CBB ratings| GAST | JXST | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1390 324th of 365 | 1478 215th of 365 |
| Record | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | JXST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 77% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 76% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 77% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:07 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:52 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:55 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:50 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:40 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 76% | — |
Georgia State Panthers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gamecocks a 9-point favorite at home, with a 77% chance to win. The model total is 148. Ratings: Gamecocks 1478 (215th of 365), Panthers 1390 (324th). The Gamecocks are 1-1; the Panthers are 1-3. The Gamecocks have won 1 of their last 5; the Panthers 0 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Gamecocks won 1, the Panthers 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Georgia State Panthers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Fresno State Bulldogs | L 92–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte 49ers | L 67–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bowling Green Falcons | L 73–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | L 75–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | L 73–81 | – | – | matchup |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at South Alabama Jaguars | L 80–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Mexico State Aggies | L 63–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UTEP Miners | W 64–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Mexico State Aggies | L 75–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Liberty Flames | L 78–81 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Georgia State Panthers | 73–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| Georgia State Panthers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 67–72 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Georgia State Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Jacksonville State Gamecocks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Panthers1-3 12th · L1
- Panthers rating1390 324th of 365, 2 games
- Gamecocks1-1 7th · L1
- Gamecocks rating1478 215th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $GASTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia State Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $JXSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Georgia State Panthers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Jacksonville State 77% to win. Projected score Jacksonville State 79, Georgia State 69; spread Jacksonville State −9, total 148. Georgia State Panthers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks, Fri, Nov 20, 7:00 PM ET.