Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs VMI Keydets prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Gardner-Webb at VMI: Bandwagon's model makes VMI a 65% favorite (VMI −5.5).
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs VMI Keydets odds and win probability
Axle gives VMI a 65% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has VMI
All CBB ratings| GWEB | VMI | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1316 359th of 365 | 1312 362nd of 365 |
| Record | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | VMI win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 65% | — |
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs VMI Keydets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Keydets a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Keydets 1312 (362nd of 365), Runnin' Bulldogs 1316 (359th). The Keydets are 1-2; the Runnin' Bulldogs are 0-2. The Keydets have won 0 of their last 5; the Runnin' Bulldogs 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Texas Longhorns | L 50–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UConn Huskies | L 46–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at High Point Panthers | L 59–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Upstate Spartans | W 65–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Upstate Spartans | L 61–71 | – | – | matchup |
VMI Keydets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UTSA Roadrunners | L 68–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at SMU Mustangs | L 70–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UNC Greensboro Spartans | L 70–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chattanooga Mocs | L 79–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Samford Bulldogs | L 61–80 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
VMI Keydets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Runnin' Bulldogs0-2 5th · L2
- Runnin' Bulldogs rating1316 359th of 365, 2 games
- Keydets1-2 9th · L2
- Keydets rating1312 362nd of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $GWEBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
VMI Keydets 1-2
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $VMIMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the VMI Keydets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at VMI Keydets
Sign in to post a take on $GWEBMBBVMIMBB261121: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: VMI 65% to win. Projected score VMI 75, Gardner-Webb 70; spread VMI −5.5, total 145.5. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at VMI Keydets, Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 PM ET.