Columbia Lions vs Boston University Terriers prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Columbia at Boston University: Bandwagon's model makes Boston University a 68% favorite (Boston University −6).
Columbia Lions vs Boston University Terriers odds and win probability
Axle gives Boston University a 68% chance to win, by about 6 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Boston University
All CBB ratings| COLU | BU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1471 225th of 365 | 1486 203rd of 365 |
| Record | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | BU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 68% | −1 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 69% | −2 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:23 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 71% | — |
Columbia Lions vs Boston University Terriers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Terriers a 6-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Terriers 1486 (203rd of 365), Lions 1471 (225th). The Terriers are 2-1; the Lions are 2-1. The Terriers have won 3 of their last 5; the Lions 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Terriers won 0, the Lions 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Columbia Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Stonehill Skyhawks | W 75–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Elon Phoenix | L 71–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Harvard Crimson | L 71–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Yale Bulldogs | L 54–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Brown Bears | W 80–62 | – | – | matchup |
Boston University Terriers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Northwestern Wildcats | L 55–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Brown Bears | W 72–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northeastern Huskies | W 93–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L 60–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Navy Midshipmen | W 73–72 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston University Terriers at Columbia Lions | 49–54 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Columbia Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Boston University Terriers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lions2-1 1st · W2
- Lions rating1471 225th of 365, 2 games
- Terriers2-1 1st · L1
- Terriers rating1486 203rd of 365, 3 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Columbia Lions 2-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $COLUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Columbia Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak L1
No stances yet today on $BUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston University Terriers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Columbia Lions at Boston University Terriers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Boston University 68% to win. Projected score Boston University 76, Columbia 70; spread Boston University −6, total 145.5. Columbia Lions at Boston University Terriers, Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 PM ET.