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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Welsh–Ryan Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Boston University Terriers vs Northwestern Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 9, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Boston University Terriers or Northwestern Wildcats: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 28–72Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: NU 72%
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Game clock
KickoffMonday, November 9 at 8:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Boston University Terriers at Northwestern Wildcats win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Boston University Terriers vs Northwestern Wildcats live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Boston University Terriers vs Northwestern Wildcats team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatBUNU
ScoreBU–NU–
Average win probabilityBU–NU–
Longest scoring runBU–NU–
Time leadingBU–NU–

Boston University Terriers vs Northwestern Wildcats odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 10 h ago
Terriers28%
Win chance
Wildcats72%
SpreadNU −7.5
Total148
Moneyline+251away / −251homeaway / home
Line movementNU win chance, 37 stored lines
+7 pts for NU since Oct 29
79%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: NU 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: NU 73%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: NU 73%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: NU 73%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: NU 70%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: NU 70%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: NU 70%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: NU 70%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: NU 70%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: NU 70%Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: NU 71%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: NU 72%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: NU 72%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: NU 72%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: NU 72%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: NU 72%Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET: NU 72%Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET: NU 72%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: NU 72%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: NU 72%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: NU 72%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredNU winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET72%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET72%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET72%0
Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET72%0
Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET72%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET72%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET72%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET72%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET72%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET72%+1
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET71%+1
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET70%−1
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET71%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET71%−2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET73%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET73%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET73%+8
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
NU 1534 · BU 1486
Home spread
−7.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

TerriersWildcats
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Wildcats–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Boston University Terriers vs Northwestern Wildcats prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 148. Ratings: Wildcats 1534 (120th of 361), Terriers 1486 (199th). The Wildcats are 0-0; the Terriers are 0-0. The Wildcats have won 3 of their last 5; the Terriers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Wildcats won 1, the Terriers 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Boston University Terriers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Northeastern HuskiesW 93–85––matchup
at Lehigh Mountain HawksL 60–74––matchup
at Navy MidshipmenW 73–72––matchup
vs American University EaglesW 75–73––matchup
at American University EaglesW 68–65––matchup

Northwestern Wildcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Binghamton BearcatsW 86–60––matchup
at Purdue BoilermakersL 68–81––matchup
at Indiana HoosiersW 74–61––matchup
vs Penn State Nittany LionsW 76–66––matchup
at Minnesota Golden GophersL 66–67––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Boston University Terriers at Northwestern Wildcats52–76––matchup

Injuries

Boston University Terriers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Northwestern Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Terriers0-0 3rd · -
  • Terriers rating1486 199th of 361, 1 games
  • Wildcats0-0 9th · -
  • Wildcats rating1534 120th of 361, 1 games

Boston University Terriers 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BUMBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BUMBB
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No stances yet today on $BUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston University Terriers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Terriers roster, schedule and more

Northwestern Wildcats 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northwestern Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Wildcats roster, schedule and more

Takes on Boston University Terriers at Northwestern Wildcats

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Model: Northwestern 72% to win. Projected score Northwestern 78, Boston University 70; spread Northwestern −7.5, total 148. Boston University Terriers at Northwestern Wildcats, Mon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM ET.