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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Fiserv Forum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Chicago State Cougars vs Marquette Golden Eagles prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026

Chicago State at Marquette: Bandwagon's model makes Marquette an 86% favorite (Marquette −13).

Chicago State Cougars vs Marquette Golden Eagles odds and win probability

CHST · AWAYChicago State1-2 · won 1 of last 5
Tip-offFiserv Forum
MARQ · HOMEMarquette2-0 · won 4 of last 5

Axle gives Marquette a 86% chance to win, by about 13 points.

Chicago State 14%Marquette 86%
Projected score65–78Chicago State–Marquette
Model spreadMARQ −13CHST +13
Model total142.5points
Model moneyline+619 / −619CHST / MARQ

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

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Why Axle has Marquette

All CBB ratings
CHST and MARQ side by side
CHSTMARQ
Rating1370 341st of 3651565 81st of 365
Record1-22-0
Last 5 games1-44-1
StreakL1W2
Home fieldNoYes
Meetings won01

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementMARQ win chance, 30 stored lines
+2 pts for MARQ since Nov 9
92%78%
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET: MARQ 84%Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET: MARQ 84%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: MARQ 84%Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET: MARQ 84%Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: MARQ 86%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: MARQ 86%
Nov 9Now
Every stored line
StoredMARQ winMove
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET86%0
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET86%0
Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET86%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET86%0
Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET86%0
Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET86%0
Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET86%0
Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET86%0
Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET86%+2
Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET84%0
Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET84%0
Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET84%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET84%—

Chicago State Cougars vs Marquette Golden Eagles prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Eagles a 13-point favorite at home, with a 86% chance to win. The model total is 142.5. Ratings: Golden Eagles 1565 (81st of 365), Cougars 1370 (341st). The Golden Eagles are 2-0; the Cougars are 1-2. The Golden Eagles have won 4 of their last 5; the Cougars 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Golden Eagles won 1, the Cougars 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Chicago State Cougars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs South Carolina State BulldogsL 67–82––matchup
at Incarnate Word CardinalsW 66–54––matchup
at Texas LonghornsL 59–109––matchup
at Long Island University SharksL 75–79––matchup
at Wagner SeahawksL 61–80––matchup

Marquette Golden Eagles

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Detroit Mercy TitansW 93–32––matchup
vs Mercyhurst LakersW 78–43––matchup
vs Xavier MusketeersL 87–89––matchup
vs UConn HuskiesW 68–62––matchup
at Providence FriarsW 78–56––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Chicago State Cougars at Marquette Golden Eagles68–82––matchup

Injuries

Chicago State Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Marquette Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Cougars1-2 2nd · L1
  • Cougars rating1370 341st of 365, 3 games
  • Golden Eagles2-0 6th · W2
  • Golden Eagles rating1565 81st of 365, 2 games

More CBB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

Chicago State Cougars 1-2

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CHSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CHSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CHSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CHSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago State Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cougars roster, schedule and more

Marquette Golden Eagles 2-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MARQMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MARQMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MARQMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MARQMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marquette Golden Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Golden Eagles roster, schedule and more

Takes on Chicago State Cougars at Marquette Golden Eagles

Sign in to post a take on $CHSTMBBMARQMBB261122: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Model: Marquette 86% to win. Projected score Marquette 78, Chicago State 65; spread Marquette −13, total 142.5. Chicago State Cougars at Marquette Golden Eagles, Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET.