Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs Mercer Bears prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Charleston Southern at Mercer: Bandwagon's model makes Mercer a 74% favorite (Mercer −8).
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs Mercer Bears odds and win probability
Axle gives Mercer a 74% chance to win, by about 8 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Mercer
All CBB ratings| CHSO | MER | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1450 254th of 365 | 1484 208th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MER win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 74% | +2 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 72% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 71% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 70% | — |
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs Mercer Bears prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bears a 8-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 151. Ratings: Bears 1484 (208th of 365), Buccaneers 1450 (254th). The Bears are 2-2; the Buccaneers are 1-2. The Bears have won 2 of their last 5; the Buccaneers 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L 64–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Florida Bulls | L 71–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Winthrop Eagles | L 81–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UNC Asheville Bulldogs | W 92–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Winthrop Eagles | W 86–84 | – | – | matchup |
Mercer Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Georgia Southern Eagles | W 97–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Davidson Wildcats | L 76–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Virginia Tech Hokies | L 67–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Western Carolina Catamounts | L 73–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers | W 82–76 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Charleston Southern Buccaneers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Mercer Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Buccaneers1-2 3rd · L1
- Buccaneers rating1450 254th of 365, 1 games
- Bears2-2 4th · W1
- Bears rating1484 208th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $CHSOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Mercer Bears 2-2
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MERMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mercer Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Charleston Southern Buccaneers at Mercer Bears
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Mercer 74% to win. Projected score Mercer 79, Charleston Southern 72; spread Mercer −8, total 151. Charleston Southern Buccaneers at Mercer Bears, Sat, Nov 21, 7:00 PM ET.