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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Chiles Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

California Baptist Lancers vs Portland Pilots prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026

California Baptist at Portland: Bandwagon's model makes California Baptist a 58% favorite (California Baptist −0.5).

California Baptist Lancers vs Portland Pilots odds and win probability

CBUCalifornia Baptist0-2 · won 2 of last 5
Tip-offChiles Center
PORTPortland3-1 · won 4 of last 5

Axle gives California Baptist a 58% chance to win.

California Baptist 58%Portland 42%
Projected score74–73California Baptist–Portland
Model spreadCBU −0.5PORT +0.5
Model total147.5points
Model moneyline−136 / +136CBU / PORT

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has California Baptist

All CBB ratings
CBU and PORT side by side
CBUPORT
Rating1526 138th of 3651456 245th of 365
Record0-23-1
Last 5 games2-34-1
StreakL2W2

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementPORT win chance, 24 stored lines
+3 pts for PORT since Nov 9
48%34%
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET: PORT 39%Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET: PORT 39%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: PORT 39%Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET: PORT 39%Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET: PORT 39%Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET: PORT 39%Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET: PORT 39%Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET: PORT 39%Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET: PORT 43%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: PORT 43%Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET: PORT 43%Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET: PORT 43%Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET: PORT 43%Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET: PORT 43%Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET: PORT 42%Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET: PORT 42%Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET: PORT 42%Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET: PORT 42%Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET: PORT 42%Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET: PORT 42%Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET: PORT 42%Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET: PORT 42%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: PORT 42%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: PORT 42%
Nov 9Now
Every stored line
StoredPORT winMove
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET42%0
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET42%0
Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET42%0
Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET42%0
Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET42%0
Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET42%0
Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET42%0
Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET42%0
Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET42%0
Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET42%−1
Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET43%0
Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET43%0
Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET43%0
Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET43%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET43%0
Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET43%+4
Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET39%0
Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET39%0
Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET39%0
Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET39%0
Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET39%0
Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET39%0
Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET39%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET39%—

California Baptist Lancers vs Portland Pilots prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Lancers a 0.5-point favorite, with a 58% chance to win. The model total is 147.5. Ratings: Pilots 1456 (245th of 365), Lancers 1526 (138th). The Pilots are 3-1; the Lancers are 0-2. The Pilots have won 4 of their last 5; the Lancers 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

California Baptist Lancers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Oregon State BeaversL 68–96––matchup
vs North Florida OspreysL 63–71––matchup
at Kansas JayhawksL 60–68––matchup
at Utah Valley WolverinesW 63–61––matchup
vs Utah Tech TrailblazersW 86–72––matchup

Portland Pilots

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsW 73–66––matchup
at Portland PilotsW 89–85––matchup
at San Francisco DonsL 65–82––matchup
at Washington State CougarsW 74–68––matchup
vs Pepperdine WavesW 77–68––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

California Baptist Lancers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Portland Pilots: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Lancers0-2 11th · L2
  • Lancers rating1526 138th of 365, 2 games
  • Pilots3-1 4th · W2
  • Pilots rating1456 245th of 365, 2 games

More CBB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

California Baptist Lancers 0-2

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak L2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CBUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CBUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CBUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CBUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the California Baptist Lancers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Lancers roster, schedule and more

Portland Pilots 3-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PORTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PORTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PORTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PORTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Portland Pilots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Pilots roster, schedule and more

Takes on California Baptist Lancers at Portland Pilots

Sign in to post a take on $CBUMBBPORTMBB261123: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Model: California Baptist 58% to win. Projected score California Baptist 74, Portland 73; spread California Baptist −0.5, total 147.5. California Baptist Lancers at Portland Pilots, Sun, Nov 22, 7:00 PM ET.