Brown Bears vs Vermont Catamounts prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Brown at Vermont: Bandwagon's model makes Vermont an 80% favorite (Vermont −10.5).
Brown Bears vs Vermont Catamounts odds and win probability
Axle gives Vermont a 80% chance to win, by about 11 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
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Why Axle has Vermont
All CBB ratings| BRWN | UVM | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1423 288th of 365 | 1545 104th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UVM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:13 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 80% | −3 |
| Nov 8, 2:03 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 83% | — |
Brown Bears vs Vermont Catamounts prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Catamounts a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 140. Ratings: Catamounts 1545 (104th of 365), Bears 1423 (288th). The Catamounts are 1-2; the Bears are 1-2. The Catamounts have won 2 of their last 5; the Bears 1 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Catamounts won 3, the Bears 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Brown Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Lehigh Mountain Hawks | W 65–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston University Terriers | L 67–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Hampshire Wildcats | L 55–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pennsylvania Quakers | L 61–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cornell Big Red | L 80–86 | – | – | matchup |
Vermont Catamounts
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Quinnipiac Bobcats | L 76–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fairfield Stags | W 79–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iona Gaels | L 55–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UMBC Retrievers | L 59–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs NJIT Highlanders | W 63–54 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermont Catamounts at Brown Bears | 89–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brown Bears at Vermont Catamounts | 60–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vermont Catamounts at Brown Bears | 71–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brown Bears at Vermont Catamounts | 65–80 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Brown Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Vermont Catamounts: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bears1-2 7th · W1
- Bears rating1423 288th of 365, 3 games
- Catamounts1-2 6th · L1
- Catamounts rating1545 104th of 365, 3 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Brown Bears 1-2
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $BRWNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Brown Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UVMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Vermont Catamounts bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Brown Bears at Vermont Catamounts
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Vermont 80% to win. Projected score Vermont 75, Brown 65; spread Vermont −10.5, total 140. Brown Bears at Vermont Catamounts, Sat, Nov 21, 7:00 PM ET.