Winthrop Eagles vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Winthrop at San Diego State: Bandwagon's model makes San Diego State a 91% favorite (San Diego State −18.5).
Winthrop Eagles vs San Diego State Aztecs odds and win probability
Axle gives San Diego State a 91% chance to win, by about 19 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has San Diego State
All WCBB ratings| WIN | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1420 258th of 357 | 1658 39th of 357 |
| Record | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SDSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 6:48 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:47 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:58 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:38 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 91% | — |
Winthrop Eagles vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Aztecs a 18.5-point favorite at home, with a 91% chance to win. The model total is 129. Ratings: Aztecs 1658 (39th of 357), Eagles 1420 (258th). The Aztecs are 3-0; the Eagles are 2-1. The Aztecs have won 4 of their last 5; the Eagles 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Winthrop Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Georgia Lady Bulldogs | L 40–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at High Point Panthers | L 63–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | W 64–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charleston Southern Buccaneers | W 77–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs | L 59–64 | – | – | matchup |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UTSA Roadrunners | W 65–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Texas Mean Green | W 73–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal State Fullerton Titans | W 77–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas Jayhawks | L 78–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs McNeese Cowgirls | W 56–41 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Winthrop Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San Diego State Aztecs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Eagles2-1 6th · W1
- Eagles rating1420 258th of 357, 1 games
- Aztecs3-0 2nd · W3
- Aztecs rating1658 39th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Winthrop Eagles 2-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $WINWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Winthrop Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W3
No stances yet today on $SDSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Diego State Aztecs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Winthrop Eagles at San Diego State Aztecs
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: San Diego State 91% to win. Projected score San Diego State 74, Winthrop 55; spread San Diego State −18.5, total 129. Winthrop Eagles at San Diego State Aztecs, Sun, Nov 22, 4:00 PM ET.