Cal State Fullerton Titans vs San Diego State Aztecs: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreCal State Fullerton 51, San Diego State 77 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSan Diego State 84%
- Pregame Projected scoreSan Diego State 72, Cal State Fullerton 58
- Model spreadSan Diego State −14 total 130.5
- Margin26 projected 14.2
- Total128 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Cal State Fullerton Titans or San Diego State Aztecs: the bandwagon
Axle 16–84Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSUF | 11 | 10 | 16 | 14 | 51 |
| SDSU | 18 | 24 | 17 | 18 | 77 |
Cal State Fullerton Titans at San Diego State Aztecs win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs San Diego State Aztecs live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CSUF | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | CSUF14/55 | SDSU35/69 |
| 3-pointers | CSUF7/27 | SDSU3/16 |
| Free throws | CSUF16/21 | SDSU4/8 |
| Rebounds | CSUF27 | SDSU47 |
| Assists | CSUF9 | SDSU22 |
| Turnovers | CSUF11 | SDSU10 |
| Steals | CSUF7 | SDSU8 |
| Blocks | CSUF1 | SDSU6 |
| Points in the paint | CSUF10 | SDSU52 |
| Fast-break points | CSUF4 | SDSU8 |
| Fouls | CSUF9 | SDSU16 |
| Largest lead | CSUF0 | SDSU27 |
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs San Diego State Aztecs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CSUF | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CSUF51 | SDSU77 |
| Average win probability | CSUF4% | SDSU96% |
| Longest scoring run | CSUF+5 | SDSU+4 |
| Time leading | CSUF0:00 | SDSU19:43 |
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs San Diego State Aztecs odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SDSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 84% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 88% | +25 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- SDSU 1629 · CSUF 1466
- Home spread
- −14
- Stored
- Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Cal State Fullerton Titans 51, San Diego State Aztecs 77. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Aztecs a 14-point favorite at home, with a 84% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Aztecs 1639 (48th of 356), Titans 1457 (221st). The Aztecs are 1-0; the Titans are 0-1. The Aztecs have won 3 of their last 5; the Titans 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Aztecs won 1, the Titans 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at San Diego State Aztecs | L 51–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | L 61–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal State Northridge Matadors | W 80–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal State Northridge Matadors | W 81–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UC San Diego Tritons | L 69–77 | – | – | matchup |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Cal State Fullerton Titans | W 77–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas Jayhawks | L 78–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs McNeese Cowgirls | W 56–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UC Irvine Anteaters | W 61–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Air Force Falcons | L 76–83 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs at Cal State Fullerton Titans | 61–58 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Cal State Fullerton Titans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San Diego State Aztecs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Titans0-1 8th · L1
- Titans rating1457 221st of 356, 1 games
- Aztecs1-0 4th · W1
- Aztecs rating1639 48th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $CSUFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cal State Fullerton Titans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SDSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Diego State Aztecs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Cal State Fullerton Titans at San Diego State Aztecs
Sign in to post a take on $CSUFWBBSDSUWBB261103: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Final: Cal State Fullerton 51, San Diego State 77. Bandwagon's model had the San Diego State at 84% and projected San Diego State 72, Cal State Fullerton 58; spread San Diego State −14, total 130.5.