Valparaiso Beacons vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Valparaiso at SIU Edwardsville: Bandwagon's model makes SIU Edwardsville a 90% favorite (SIU Edwardsville −18).
Valparaiso Beacons vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars odds and win probability
Axle gives SIU Edwardsville a 90% chance to win, by about 18 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has SIU Edwardsville
All WCBB ratings| VAL | SIUE | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1232 354th of 357 | 1468 200th of 357 |
| Record | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SIUE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:38 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 90% | — |
Valparaiso Beacons vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cougars a 18-point favorite at home, with a 90% chance to win. The model total is 131. Ratings: Cougars 1468 (200th of 357), Beacons 1232 (354th). The Cougars are 2-1; the Beacons are 1-2. The Cougars have won 3 of their last 5; the Beacons 0 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Cougars won 1, the Beacons 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Valparaiso Beacons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit Mercy Titans | L 63–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan State Spartans | L 44–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Drake Bulldogs | L 55–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Murray State Racers | L 68–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Belmont Bruins | L 63–83 | – | – | matchup |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Milwaukee Panthers | W 63–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at IU Indianapolis Jaguars | L 69–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Martin Skyhawks | W 63–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Illinois Panthers | W 70–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Western Illinois Leathernecks | L 61–79 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Valparaiso Beacons | 76–69 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Valparaiso Beacons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
SIU Edwardsville Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Beacons1-2 7th · W1
- Beacons rating1232 354th of 357, 2 games
- Cougars2-1 1st · W1
- Cougars rating1468 200th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $VALWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Valparaiso Beacons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SIUEWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the SIU Edwardsville Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Valparaiso Beacons at SIU Edwardsville Cougars
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: SIU Edwardsville 90% to win. Projected score SIU Edwardsville 74, Valparaiso 57; spread SIU Edwardsville −18, total 131. Valparaiso Beacons at SIU Edwardsville Cougars, Sun, Nov 22, 2:00 PM ET.