Utah State Aggies vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Utah State at TCU: Bandwagon's model makes TCU a 97% favorite (TCU −26).
Utah State Aggies vs TCU Horned Frogs odds and win probability
Axle gives TCU a 97% chance to win, by about 26 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has TCU
All WCBB ratings| USU | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1309 343rd of 357 | 1757 9th of 357 |
| Record | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | W4 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | TCU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:38 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 6:48 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:47 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:58 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:38 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 2:02 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 97% | — |
Utah State Aggies vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Horned Frogs a 26-point favorite, with a 97% chance to win. The model total is 132. Ratings: Horned Frogs 1757 (9th of 357), Aggies 1309 (343rd). The Horned Frogs are 4-0; the Aggies are 1-2. The Horned Frogs have won 4 of their last 5; the Aggies 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Utah State Aggies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at USC Trojans | L 40–118 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Loyola Marymount Lions | L 45–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Grand Canyon Lopes | L 58–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nevada Wolf Pack | L 69–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boise State Broncos | L 59–75 | – | – | matchup |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Iona Gaels | W 78–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tarleton State Texans | W 89–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | W 99–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 52–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Cavaliers | W 79–69 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Utah State Aggies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
TCU Horned Frogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Aggies1-2 8th · L2
- Aggies rating1309 343rd of 357, 2 games
- Horned Frogs4-0 2nd · W4
- Horned Frogs rating1757 9th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $USUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah State Aggies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
TCU Horned Frogs 4-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W4
No stances yet today on $TCUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the TCU Horned Frogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Utah State Aggies at TCU Horned Frogs
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.