Texas Tech Lady Raiders vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
Texas Tech at North Carolina: Bandwagon's model makes North Carolina a 52% favorite (North Carolina −3.5).
Texas Tech Lady Raiders vs North Carolina Tar Heels odds and win probability
Axle gives North Carolina a 52% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has North Carolina
All WCBB ratings| TTU | UNC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1668 32nd of 357 | 1676 30th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UNC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 52% | −3 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:28 PM ET | 55% | −3 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:43 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:58 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:49 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:11 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | — |
Texas Tech Lady Raiders vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tar Heels a 3.5-point favorite, with a 52% chance to win. The model total is 129. Ratings: Tar Heels 1676 (30th of 357), Lady Raiders 1668 (32nd). The Tar Heels are 0-2; the Lady Raiders are 2-0. The Tar Heels have won 3 of their last 5; the Lady Raiders 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Texas Tech Lady Raiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Lamar Cardinals | W 78–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte 49ers | W 64–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LSU Tigers | L 47–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Villanova Wildcats | W 57–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas State Wildcats | L 51–58 | – | – | matchup |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs North Carolina Tar Heels | W 84–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma Sooners | L 79–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UConn Huskies | L 42–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Maryland Terrapins | W 74–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Western Illinois Leathernecks | W 82–51 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Texas Tech Lady Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
North Carolina Tar Heels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lady Raiders2-0 15th · W2
- Lady Raiders rating1668 32nd of 357, 2 games
- Tar Heels0-2 18th · L2
- Tar Heels rating1676 30th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 15th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $TTUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas Tech Lady Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 18th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $UNCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Carolina Tar Heels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Texas Tech Lady Raiders at North Carolina Tar Heels
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: North Carolina 52% to win. Projected score North Carolina 66, Texas Tech 63; spread North Carolina −3.5, total 129. Texas Tech Lady Raiders at North Carolina Tar Heels, Thu, Nov 19, 6:00 PM ET.