South Dakota Coyotes vs Valparaiso Beacons prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
South Dakota at Valparaiso: Bandwagon's model makes South Dakota an 88% favorite (South Dakota −11).
South Dakota Coyotes vs Valparaiso Beacons odds and win probability
Axle gives South Dakota a 88% chance to win, by about 11 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has South Dakota
All WCBB ratings| SDAK | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1563 111th of 357 | 1232 354th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W2 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | VAL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:28 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:23 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:08 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:48 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:00 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:59 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:19 PM ET | 12% | −1 |
| Nov 7, 3:59 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:59 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 13% | — |
South Dakota Coyotes vs Valparaiso Beacons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Coyotes a 11-point favorite, with a 88% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Beacons 1232 (354th of 357), Coyotes 1563 (111th). The Beacons are 1-2; the Coyotes are 2-0. The Beacons have won 0 of their last 5; the Coyotes 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Beacons won 0, the Coyotes 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
South Dakota Coyotes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | W 68–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois State Redbirds | L 60–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Montana State Bobcats | W 65–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pepperdine Waves | W 73–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Colorado Bears | W 80–60 | – | – | matchup |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit Mercy Titans | L 63–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan State Spartans | L 44–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Drake Bulldogs | L 55–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Murray State Racers | L 68–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Belmont Bruins | L 63–83 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons at South Dakota Coyotes | 44–85 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
South Dakota Coyotes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Valparaiso Beacons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Coyotes2-0 1st · W2
- Coyotes rating1563 111th of 357, 1 games
- Beacons1-2 7th · W1
- Beacons rating1232 354th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $SDAKWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Dakota Coyotes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $VALWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Valparaiso Beacons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on South Dakota Coyotes at Valparaiso Beacons
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: South Dakota 88% to win. Projected score South Dakota 71, Valparaiso 60; spread South Dakota −11, total 130.5. South Dakota Coyotes at Valparaiso Beacons, Fri, Nov 20, 7:00 PM ET.