Oklahoma Sooners vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
Oklahoma at Virginia: Bandwagon's model makes Oklahoma a 68% favorite (Oklahoma −2.5).
Oklahoma Sooners vs Virginia Cavaliers odds and win probability
Axle gives Oklahoma a 68% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Oklahoma
All WCBB ratings| OU | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1726 16th of 357 | 1665 34th of 357 |
| Record | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | W3 |
| Meetings won | 2 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UVA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 32% | −8 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 40% | — |
Oklahoma Sooners vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Sooners a 2.5-point favorite, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 135.5. Ratings: Cavaliers 1665 (34th of 357), Sooners 1726 (16th). The Cavaliers are 3-0; the Sooners are 3-0. The Cavaliers have won 4 of their last 5; the Sooners 4 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cavaliers won 0, the Sooners 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Oklahoma Sooners
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs San José State Spartans | W 98–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Morgan State Lady Bears | W 95–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Carolina Tar Heels | W 91–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 68–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan State Spartans | W 77–71 | – | – | matchup |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs William & Mary Tribe | W 99–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Davidson Wildcats | W 72–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | W 87–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at TCU Horned Frogs | L 69–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa Hawkeyes | W 83–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers at Oklahoma Sooners | 51–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| Oklahoma Sooners at Virginia Cavaliers | 82–67 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Oklahoma Sooners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Virginia Cavaliers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sooners3-0 9th · W3
- Sooners rating1726 16th of 357, 2 games
- Cavaliers3-0 9th · W3
- Cavaliers rating1665 34th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Oklahoma Sooners 3-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $OUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oklahoma Sooners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $UVAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Virginia Cavaliers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Oklahoma Sooners at Virginia Cavaliers
Sign in to post a take on $OUWBBUVAWBB261123: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Oklahoma 68% to win. Projected score Oklahoma 69, Virginia 67; spread Oklahoma −2.5, total 135.5. Oklahoma Sooners at Virginia Cavaliers, Mon, Nov 23, 2:30 PM ET.