Virginia leads Maryland Eastern Shore 43-19 at the half, a 24-point margin. The model gives the Cavaliers an 82% chance at home, and no crowd picks are in yet for this game.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · John Paul Jones Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs Virginia Cavaliers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreMaryland Eastern Shore 45, Virginia 87 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerVirginia 82%
- Pregame Projected scoreVirginia 72, Maryland Eastern Shore 59
- Model spreadVirginia −13 total 130.5
- Margin42 projected 12.9
- Total132 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks or Virginia Cavaliers: the bandwagon
Axle 18–82Market –
FinalPregame: UVA 82%Baseline: UVA 95.5% (+13.8)Big swing: 14.5 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMES | 8 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 45 |
| UVA | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 87 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Virginia Cavaliers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for UVA over the last 5:00
Big swing14.5 ptstoward UVA at 6:38 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineUVA 95.5%game average, +13.8 points from the pregame 81.7%
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs Virginia Cavaliers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UMES | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | UMES18/49 | UVA29/59 |
| 3-pointers | UMES2/17 | UVA7/20 |
| Free throws | UMES7/16 | UVA22/29 |
| Rebounds | UMES25 | UVA44 |
| Assists | UMES4 | UVA13 |
| Turnovers | UMES25 | UVA18 |
| Steals | UMES12 | UVA11 |
| Blocks | UMES0 | UVA3 |
| Points in the paint | UMES24 | UVA42 |
| Fast-break points | UMES9 | UVA11 |
| Fouls | UMES28 | UVA18 |
| Largest lead | UMES2 | UVA42 |
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs Virginia Cavaliers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UMES | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UMES45 | UVA87 |
| Average win probability | UMES4% | UVA96% |
| Longest scoring run | UMES+5 | UVA+11 |
| Time leading | UMES3:11 | UVA33:22 |
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs Virginia Cavaliers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET
Hawks18%
Win chanceCavaliers82%
SpreadUVA −13closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+448away / −448homeaway / home
Line movementUVA win chance, 15 stored lines
+19 pts for UVA between Oct 29 and Nov 2
91%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | UVA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 82% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 86% | +23 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- UVA 1615 · UMES 1477
- Home spread
- −13
- Stored
- Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET · 2026-11-03 00:56 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks 45, Virginia Cavaliers 87. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
HawksCavaliers
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HawksCavaliers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Cavaliers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cavaliers a 13-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Cavaliers 1628 (57th of 356), Hawks 1464 (215th). The Cavaliers are 1-0; the Hawks are 0-1. The Cavaliers have won 4 of their last 5; the Hawks 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cavaliers won 3, the Hawks 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Virginia Cavaliers | L 45–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Youngstown State Penguins | L 42–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wake Forest Demon Deacons | W 59–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Norfolk State Spartans | L 51–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Delaware State Hornets | W 55–48 | – | – | matchup |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | W 87–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at TCU Horned Frogs | L 69–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa Hawkeyes | W 83–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Lady Bulldogs | W 82–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona State Sun Devils | W 57–55 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Virginia Cavaliers | 59–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Virginia Cavaliers | 64–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Virginia Cavaliers | 52–76 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Virginia Cavaliers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Hawks0-1 6th · L1
- Hawks rating1464 215th of 356, 1 games
- Cavaliers1-0 13th · W1
- Cavaliers rating1628 57th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UMESWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UMESWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $UMESWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 13th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UVAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UVAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UVAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $UVAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Virginia Cavaliers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Virginia Cavaliers
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Final: Maryland Eastern Shore 45, Virginia 87. Bandwagon's model had the Virginia at 82% and projected Virginia 72, Maryland Eastern Shore 59; spread Virginia −13, total 130.5.