Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs USC Trojans prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
Northern Arizona at USC: Bandwagon's model makes USC a 94% favorite (USC −21.5).
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs USC Trojans odds and win probability
Axle gives USC a 94% chance to win, by about 22 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has USC
All WCBB ratings| NAU | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1413 265th of 357 | 1678 26th of 357 |
| Record | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | USC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 94% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:38 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 93% | — |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs USC Trojans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Trojans a 21.5-point favorite at home, with a 94% chance to win. The model total is 136. Ratings: Trojans 1678 (26th of 357), Lumberjacks 1413 (265th). The Trojans are 3-0; the Lumberjacks are 0-2. The Trojans have won 4 of their last 5; the Lumberjacks 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UC Irvine Anteaters | L 74–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 52–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Montana Lady Griz | L 60–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montana State Bobcats | L 48–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Eastern Washington Eagles | L 61–81 | – | – | matchup |
USC Trojans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Charleston Cougars | W 105–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah State Aggies | W 118–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UNLV Lady Rebels | W 100–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 61–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Clemson Tigers | W 71–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
USC Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lumberjacks0-2 10th · L2
- Lumberjacks rating1413 265th of 357, 1 games
- Trojans3-0 7th · W3
- Trojans rating1678 26th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $NAUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
USC Trojans 3-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $USCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the USC Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at USC Trojans
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: USC 94% to win. Projected score USC 79, Northern Arizona 57; spread USC −21.5, total 136. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at USC Trojans, Mon, Nov 23, 10:00 PM ET.