Montana State Bobcats vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
Montana State at Iowa: Bandwagon's model makes Iowa a 76% favorite (Iowa −10.5).
Montana State Bobcats vs Iowa Hawkeyes odds and win probability
Axle gives Iowa a 76% chance to win, by about 11 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Iowa
All WCBB ratings| MTST | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1633 60th of 357 | 1721 17th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | IOWA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:23 PM ET | 76% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 77% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:59 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:25 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:19 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:25 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:04 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:02 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:07 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:47 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:48 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 78% | — |
Montana State Bobcats vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hawkeyes a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 131.5. Ratings: Hawkeyes 1721 (17th of 357), Bobcats 1633 (60th). The Hawkeyes are 2-1; the Bobcats are 2-0. The Hawkeyes have won 3 of their last 5; the Bobcats 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Montana State Bobcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Portland Pilots | W 75–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Dakota Coyotes | L 56–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland Pilots | W 72–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Francisco Dons | W 69–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Idaho Vandals | L 57–60 | – | – | matchup |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UConn Huskies | L 79–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Illinois Panthers | W 80–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Towson Tigers | W 73–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Cavaliers | L 75–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 58–48 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Montana State Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Iowa Hawkeyes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bobcats2-0 1st · W2
- Bobcats rating1633 60th of 357, 1 games
- Hawkeyes2-1 14th · L1
- Hawkeyes rating1721 17th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $MTSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Montana State Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Iowa Hawkeyes 2-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 14th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $IOWAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Iowa Hawkeyes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Montana State Bobcats at Iowa Hawkeyes
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Iowa 76% to win. Projected score Iowa 71, Montana State 60; spread Iowa −10.5, total 131.5. Montana State Bobcats at Iowa Hawkeyes, Thu, Nov 19, 8:00 PM ET.