Towson Tigers vs Iowa Hawkeyes: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreTowson 45, Iowa 73 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerIowa 89%
- Pregame Projected scoreIowa 74, Towson 57
- Model spreadIowa −17 total 130.5
- Margin28 projected 16.9
- Total118 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Towson Tigers or Iowa Hawkeyes: the bandwagon
Axle 11–89Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 14 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 45 |
| IOWA | 17 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 73 |
Towson Tigers at Iowa Hawkeyes win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Towson Tigers vs Iowa Hawkeyes live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | TOW | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | TOW19/61 | IOWA25/56 |
| 3-pointers | TOW3/18 | IOWA8/29 |
| Free throws | TOW4/7 | IOWA15/23 |
| Rebounds | TOW27 | IOWA52 |
| Assists | TOW6 | IOWA12 |
| Turnovers | TOW8 | IOWA16 |
| Steals | TOW6 | IOWA4 |
| Blocks | TOW2 | IOWA6 |
| Points in the paint | TOW20 | IOWA30 |
| Fast-break points | TOW2 | IOWA0 |
| Fouls | TOW20 | IOWA12 |
| Largest lead | TOW2 | IOWA28 |
Towson Tigers vs Iowa Hawkeyes team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | TOW | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TOW45 | IOWA73 |
| Average win probability | TOW6% | IOWA94% |
| Longest scoring run | TOW+4 | IOWA+12 |
| Time leading | TOW0:32 | IOWA33:30 |
Towson Tigers vs Iowa Hawkeyes odds
Every stored line
| Stored | IOWA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 89% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 93% | +30 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- IOWA 1718 · TOW 1500
- Home spread
- −17
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:36 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Towson Tigers 45, Iowa Hawkeyes 73. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Towson Tigers vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hawkeyes a 17-point favorite at home, with a 89% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Hawkeyes 1725 (14th of 356), Tigers 1493 (182nd). The Hawkeyes are 0-0; the Tigers are 0-0. The Hawkeyes have won 3 of their last 5; the Tigers 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Towson Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Iowa Hawkeyes | L 45–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hofstra Pride | L 71–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Drexel Dragons | W 74–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Monmouth Hawks | L 77–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Campbell Fighting Camels | W 63–55 | – | – | matchup |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Towson Tigers | W 73–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Cavaliers | L 75–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 58–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 45–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan Wolverines | W 59–42 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Towson Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Iowa Hawkeyes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tigers0-0 12th · -
- Tigers rating1493 182nd of 356, 1 games
- Hawkeyes0-0 8th · -
- Hawkeyes rating1725 14th of 356, 1 games
Towson Tigers 0-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak -
No stances yet today on $TOWWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Towson Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Iowa Hawkeyes 0-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak -
No stances yet today on $IOWAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Iowa Hawkeyes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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