Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Auburn Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Middle Tennessee at Auburn: Bandwagon's model makes Auburn a 65% favorite (Auburn −7).
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Auburn Tigers odds and win probability
Axle gives Auburn a 65% chance to win, by about 7 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Auburn
All WCBB ratings| MTSU | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1522 147th of 357 | 1525 145th of 357 |
| Record | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | AUB win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 65% | +2 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:23 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:18 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:59 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:05 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:59 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:04 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 63% | — |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Auburn Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 7-point favorite at home, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 128.5. Ratings: Tigers 1525 (145th of 357), Blue Raiders 1522 (147th). The Tigers are 3-0; the Blue Raiders are 1-1. The Tigers have won 4 of their last 5; the Blue Raiders 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 1, the Blue Raiders 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Memphis Tigers | L 38–47 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Saint Louis Billikens | W 91–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cleveland State Vikings | L 56–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W 69–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Lady Bears | L 66–69 | – | – | matchup |
Auburn Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Furman Paladins | W 74–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Miss Lady Eagles | W 56–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Alabama State Lady Hornets | W 84–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ole Miss Rebels | L 57–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas A&M Aggies | W 50–49 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn Tigers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 68–52 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Auburn Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blue Raiders1-1 9th · L1
- Blue Raiders rating1522 147th of 357, 2 games
- Tigers3-0 3rd · W3
- Tigers rating1525 145th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MTSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Auburn Tigers 3-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W3
No stances yet today on $AUBWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Auburn Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Auburn Tigers
Sign in to post a take on $MTSUWBBAUBWBB261121: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Auburn 65% to win. Projected score Auburn 68, Middle Tennessee 61; spread Auburn −7, total 128.5. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Auburn Tigers, Fri, Nov 20, 7:00 PM ET.