James Madison Dukes vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
James Madison at Virginia: Bandwagon's model makes Virginia an 81% favorite (Virginia −13).
James Madison Dukes vs Virginia Cavaliers odds and win probability
Axle gives Virginia a 81% chance to win, by about 13 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Virginia
All WCBB ratings| JMU | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1646 44th of 357 | 1665 34th of 357 |
| Record | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UVA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 81% | +18 |
| Nov 8, 6:08 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET | 63% | +2 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:49 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:24 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:25 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:04 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:19 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:35 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:52 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:37 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:47 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 6:04 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:49 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:09 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:04 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 2:03 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:38 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 61% | — |
James Madison Dukes vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cavaliers a 13-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 128. Ratings: Cavaliers 1665 (34th of 357), Dukes 1646 (44th). The Cavaliers are 3-0; the Dukes are 1-2. The Cavaliers have won 4 of their last 5; the Dukes 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
James Madison Dukes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Virginia Tech Hokies | L 43–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils | W 77–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 52–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kentucky Wildcats | L 56–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Troy Trojans | W 69–52 | – | – | matchup |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs William & Mary Tribe | W 99–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Davidson Wildcats | W 72–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | W 87–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at TCU Horned Frogs | L 69–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa Hawkeyes | W 83–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
James Madison Dukes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Virginia Cavaliers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Dukes1-2 10th · L1
- Dukes rating1646 44th of 357, 3 games
- Cavaliers3-0 9th · W3
- Cavaliers rating1665 34th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $JMUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the James Madison Dukes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $UVAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Virginia Cavaliers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on James Madison Dukes at Virginia Cavaliers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Virginia 81% to win. Projected score Virginia 70, James Madison 58; spread Virginia −13, total 128. James Madison Dukes at Virginia Cavaliers, Thu, Nov 19, 6:00 PM ET.