Indiana State Sycamores vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
Indiana State at Southeast Missouri State: Bandwagon's model makes Southeast Missouri State a 57% favorite (Southeast Missouri State −4.5).
Indiana State Sycamores vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks odds and win probability
Axle gives Southeast Missouri State a 57% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Southeast Missouri State
All WCBB ratings| INST | SEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1341 323rd of 357 | 1427 251st of 357 |
| Record | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SEMO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 57% | −9 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 66% | −9 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:48 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 75% | +2 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:18 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:00 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:19 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:10 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:59 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:04 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:12 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:52 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:07 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:52 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:47 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:48 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:38 PM ET | 73% | +1 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | — |
Indiana State Sycamores vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Redhawks a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 57% chance to win. The model total is 133.5. Ratings: Redhawks 1427 (251st of 357), Sycamores 1341 (323rd). The Redhawks are 0-3; the Sycamores are 1-3. The Redhawks have won 1 of their last 5; the Sycamores 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Redhawks won 0, the Sycamores 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Indiana State Sycamores
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars | W 86–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rutgers Scarlet Knights | L 76–107 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seton Hall Pirates | L 56–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Illinois Huskies | L 71–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Murray State Racers | L 88–105 | – | – | matchup |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Purdue Boilermakers | L 50–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 52–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Missouri State Lady Bears | L 40–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Illinois Leathernecks | L 66–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Morehead State Eagles | W 60–55 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana State Sycamores at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 68–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| Southeast Missouri State Redhawks at Indiana State Sycamores | 57–65 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Indiana State Sycamores: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sycamores1-3 8th · W1
- Sycamores rating1341 323rd of 357, 3 games
- Redhawks0-3 8th · L3
- Redhawks rating1427 251st of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $INSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Indiana State Sycamores bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $SEMOWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Indiana State Sycamores at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
Sign in to post a take on $INSTWBBSEMOWBB261120: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Southeast Missouri State 57% to win. Projected score Southeast Missouri State 69, Indiana State 64; spread Southeast Missouri State −4.5, total 133.5. Indiana State Sycamores at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, Thu, Nov 19, 7:30 PM ET.