Northern Illinois Huskies lead Indiana State Sycamores 4-0 with 8:02 left in the 1st quarter of their game. The model gives the Huskies a 63% chance, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Convocation Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Indiana State Sycamores vs Northern Illinois Huskies: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreIndiana State 71, Northern Illinois 76 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerNorthern Illinois 63%
- Pregame Projected scoreNorthern Illinois 68, Indiana State 62
- Model spreadNorthern Illinois −6.5 total 130.5
- Margin5 projected 6.3
- Total147 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Indiana State Sycamores or Northern Illinois Huskies: the bandwagon
Axle 37–63Market –
FinalPregame: NIU 63%Baseline: NIU 76.7% (+13.7)Big swing: 58.1 ptsClutch window: 9:43
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 17 | 16 | 14 | 24 | 71 |
| NIU | 18 | 22 | 14 | 22 | 76 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Indiana State Sycamores at Northern Illinois Huskies win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to NIU+22.0 points for NIU over the last 5:00
Big swing58.1 ptstoward INST at 38:18 of game time
Clutch window9:43within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineNIU 76.7%game average, +13.7 points from the pregame 63.1%
Indiana State Sycamores vs Northern Illinois Huskies live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | INST | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | INST29/75 | NIU28/55 |
| 3-pointers | INST5/27 | NIU9/18 |
| Free throws | INST8/13 | NIU11/21 |
| Rebounds | INST43 | NIU37 |
| Assists | INST14 | NIU15 |
| Turnovers | INST21 | NIU22 |
| Steals | INST12 | NIU10 |
| Blocks | INST4 | NIU5 |
| Points in the paint | INST40 | NIU30 |
| Fast-break points | INST8 | NIU8 |
| Fouls | INST21 | NIU20 |
| Largest lead | INST2 | NIU15 |
Indiana State Sycamores vs Northern Illinois Huskies team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | INST | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | INST71 | NIU76 |
| Average win probability | INST23% | NIU77% |
| Longest scoring run | INST+7 | NIU+5 |
| Time leading | INST1:14 | NIU18:46 |
Indiana State Sycamores vs Northern Illinois Huskies odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET
Sycamores37%
Win chanceHuskies63%
SpreadNIU −6.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+171away / −171homeaway / home
Line movementNIU win chance, 14 stored lines
No move
69%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | NIU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- NIU 1372 · INST 1367
- Home spread
- −6.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Indiana State Sycamores 71, Northern Illinois Huskies 76. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
SycamoresHuskies
Neutrals only–
SycamoresHuskies
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Huskies–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Indiana State Sycamores vs Northern Illinois Huskies prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Huskies a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Huskies 1380 (300th of 356), Sycamores 1360 (308th). The Huskies are 1-0; the Sycamores are 0-1. The Huskies have won 3 of their last 5; the Sycamores 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Huskies won 2, the Sycamores 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Indiana State Sycamores
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Northern Illinois Huskies | L 71–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Murray State Racers | L 88–105 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Illinois Salukis | W 81–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Iowa Panthers | L 73–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Belmont Bruins | L 79–88 | – | – | matchup |
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Indiana State Sycamores | W 76–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bowling Green Falcons | L 66–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Bulls | W 56–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | W 70–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Michigan Broncos | L 60–65 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois Huskies at Indiana State Sycamores | 61–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| Northern Illinois Huskies at Indiana State Sycamores | 82–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| Northern Illinois Huskies at Indiana State Sycamores | 67–62 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Indiana State Sycamores: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Northern Illinois Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sycamores0-1 8th · L1
- Sycamores rating1360 308th of 356, 1 games
- Huskies1-0 3rd · W1
- Huskies rating1380 300th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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No stances yet today on $INSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Indiana State Sycamores bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NIUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NIUWBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NIUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $NIUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Illinois Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Indiana State Sycamores at Northern Illinois Huskies
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Final: Indiana State 71, Northern Illinois 76. Bandwagon's model had the Northern Illinois at 63% and projected Northern Illinois 68, Indiana State 62; spread Northern Illinois −6.5, total 130.5.