Houston Cougars vs Montana Lady Griz prediction, odds and picks, November 13, 2026
- Projected winnerMontana 60%
- Projected scoreMontana 68, Houston 62
- Model spreadMontana −5.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Houston Cougars or Montana Lady Griz: the bandwagon
Axle 40–60Market –
Houston Cougars at Montana Lady Griz win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Houston Cougars vs Montana Lady Griz live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Houston Cougars vs Montana Lady Griz team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | HOU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | HOU– | MONT– |
| Average win probability | HOU– | MONT– |
| Longest scoring run | HOU– | MONT– |
| Time leading | HOU– | MONT– |
Houston Cougars vs Montana Lady Griz odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MONT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 60% | −2 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 62% | — |
- Ratings
- MONT 1389 · HOU 1400
- Home spread
- −5.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Houston Cougars vs Montana Lady Griz prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lady Griz a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 60% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Lady Griz 1389 (290th of 356), Cougars 1400 (279th). The Lady Griz are 1-0; the Cougars are 1-0. The Lady Griz have won 2 of their last 5; the Cougars 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Lady Griz won 0, the Cougars 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Houston Cougars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Hampton Lady Pirates | W 73–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at BYU Cougars | L 66–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UCF Knights | L 62–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 67–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 56–81 | – | – | matchup |
Montana Lady Griz
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Montana State Bobcats | L 57–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W 61–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Colorado Bears | L 59–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland State Vikings | W 55–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sacramento State Hornets | L 57–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana Lady Griz at Houston Cougars | 54–60 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Houston Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Montana Lady Griz: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cougars1-0 5th · W1
- Cougars rating1400 279th of 356, 1 games
- Lady Griz1-0 2nd · W1
- Lady Griz rating1389 290th of 356, 0 games
Houston Cougars 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $HOUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Houston Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MONTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Montana Lady Griz bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Houston Cougars at Montana Lady Griz
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Model: Montana 60% to win. Projected score Montana 68, Houston 62; spread Montana −5.5, total 130.5. Houston Cougars at Montana Lady Griz, Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET.