Fairfield Stags vs Oregon State Beavers prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Fairfield at Oregon State: Bandwagon's model makes Fairfield a 60% favorite (Fairfield −0.5).
Fairfield Stags vs Oregon State Beavers odds and win probability
Axle gives Fairfield a 60% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
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Why Axle has Fairfield
All WCBB ratings| FAIR | ORST | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1705 20th of 357 | 1580 97th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ORST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:48 PM ET | 40% | +2 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:48 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 38% | −3 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:43 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 41% | — |
Fairfield Stags vs Oregon State Beavers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Stags a 0.5-point favorite, with a 60% chance to win. The model total is 134.5. Ratings: Beavers 1580 (97th of 357), Stags 1705 (20th). The Beavers are 1-1; the Stags are 2-0. The Beavers have won 2 of their last 5; the Stags 4 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Fairfield Stags
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Vermont Catamounts | W 74–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Binghamton Bearcats | W 90–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L 60–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Quinnipiac Bobcats | W 51–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Merrimack Warriors | W 65–48 | – | – | matchup |
Oregon State Beavers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Eastern Washington Eagles | W 85–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs California Baptist Lancers | L 77–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wisconsin Badgers | L 58–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Gonzaga Bulldogs | L 66–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Loyola Marymount Lions | W 73–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Fairfield Stags: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Oregon State Beavers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Stags2-0 2nd · W2
- Stags rating1705 20th of 357, 2 games
- Beavers1-1 7th · W1
- Beavers rating1580 97th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Fairfield Stags 2-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $FAIRWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Fairfield Stags bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ORSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oregon State Beavers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Fairfield Stags at Oregon State Beavers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Fairfield 60% to win. Projected score Fairfield 67.4, Oregon State 67.1; spread Fairfield −0.5, total 134.5. Fairfield Stags at Oregon State Beavers, Sat, Nov 21, 3:00 PM ET.